Consumers Energy Preferred Stock Probability of Future Preferred Stock Price Finishing Under 81.10
| CMS-PB Preferred Stock | USD 79.69 1.29 1.59% |
Consumers |
Consumers Energy Target Price Odds to finish below 81.10
The tendency of Consumers Preferred Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 81.10 after 90 days |
| 79.69 | 90 days | 81.10 | about 27.18 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Consumers Energy to stay under $ 81.10 after 90 days from now is about 27.18 (This Consumers Energy probability density function shows the probability of Consumers Preferred Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Consumers Energy price to stay between its current price of $ 79.69 and $ 81.10 at the end of the 90-day period is about 14.6 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Consumers Energy has a beta of -0.0537 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Consumers Energy are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Consumers Energy is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Consumers Energy has an alpha of 0.0131, implying that it can generate a 0.0131 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Consumers Energy Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Consumers Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Consumers Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Consumers Energy Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Consumers Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Consumers Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Consumers Energy, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Consumers Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.05 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.64 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
Consumers Energy Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Consumers Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Consumers Energy can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Consumers Energy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Consumers Energy has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations |
Consumers Energy Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Consumers Preferred Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Consumers Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Consumers Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 281 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 43 M |
Consumers Energy Technical Analysis
Consumers Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Consumers Preferred Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Consumers Energy. In general, you should focus on analyzing Consumers Preferred Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Consumers Energy Predictive Forecast Models
Consumers Energy's time-series forecasting models is one of many Consumers Energy's preferred stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Consumers Energy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the preferred stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Consumers Energy
Checking the ongoing alerts about Consumers Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Consumers Energy help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Consumers Energy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Consumers Energy has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations |
Other Information on Investing in Consumers Preferred Stock
Consumers Energy financial ratios help investors to determine whether Consumers Preferred Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Consumers with respect to the benefits of owning Consumers Energy security.