CMR SAB (Mexico) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1.35

CMRB Stock  MXN 1.19  0.01  0.83%   
CMR SAB's future price is the expected price of CMR SAB instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of CMR SAB de performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out CMR SAB Backtesting, CMR SAB Valuation, CMR SAB Correlation, CMR SAB Hype Analysis, CMR SAB Volatility, CMR SAB History as well as CMR SAB Performance.
  
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CMR SAB Target Price Odds to finish over 1.35

The tendency of CMR Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  1.35  or more in 90 days
 1.19 90 days 1.35 
about 20.23
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CMR SAB to move over  1.35  or more in 90 days from now is about 20.23 (This CMR SAB de probability density function shows the probability of CMR Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of CMR SAB de price to stay between its current price of  1.19  and  1.35  at the end of the 90-day period is about 48.91 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon CMR SAB has a beta of 0.38 suggesting as returns on the market go up, CMR SAB average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding CMR SAB de will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally CMR SAB de has an alpha of 0.1081, implying that it can generate a 0.11 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   CMR SAB Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for CMR SAB

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CMR SAB de. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.061.206.25
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.051.076.12
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.031.256.30
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.231.281.33
Details

CMR SAB Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CMR SAB is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CMR SAB's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CMR SAB de, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CMR SAB within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.11
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.38
σ
Overall volatility
0.12
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

CMR SAB Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of CMR SAB for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for CMR SAB de can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
CMR SAB de had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
CMR SAB de may become a speculative penny stock
CMR SAB de has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
CMR SAB de has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
CMR SAB de has accumulated 2.02 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 203.9, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. CMR SAB de has a current ratio of 0.43, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist CMR SAB until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, CMR SAB's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like CMR SAB de sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for CMR to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about CMR SAB's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 3.26 B. Net Loss for the year was (168.28 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.38 B.

CMR SAB Technical Analysis

CMR SAB's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. CMR Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of CMR SAB de. In general, you should focus on analyzing CMR Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

CMR SAB Predictive Forecast Models

CMR SAB's time-series forecasting models is one of many CMR SAB's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary CMR SAB's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about CMR SAB de

Checking the ongoing alerts about CMR SAB for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for CMR SAB de help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
CMR SAB de had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
CMR SAB de may become a speculative penny stock
CMR SAB de has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
CMR SAB de has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
CMR SAB de has accumulated 2.02 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 203.9, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. CMR SAB de has a current ratio of 0.43, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist CMR SAB until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, CMR SAB's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like CMR SAB de sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for CMR to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about CMR SAB's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 3.26 B. Net Loss for the year was (168.28 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.38 B.

Additional Tools for CMR Stock Analysis

When running CMR SAB's price analysis, check to measure CMR SAB's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CMR SAB is operating at the current time. Most of CMR SAB's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CMR SAB's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CMR SAB's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CMR SAB to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.