Calvert Long Term Income Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 14.97

CLDAX Fund  USD 15.50  0.05  0.32%   
Calvert Long's future price is the expected price of Calvert Long instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Calvert Long Term Income performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Calvert Long Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Calvert Long Correlation, Calvert Long Hype Analysis, Calvert Long Volatility, Calvert Long History as well as Calvert Long Performance.
  
Please specify Calvert Long's target price for which you would like Calvert Long odds to be computed.

Calvert Long Target Price Odds to finish below 14.97

The tendency of Calvert Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 14.97  or more in 90 days
 15.50 90 days 14.97 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Calvert Long to drop to $ 14.97  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Calvert Long Term Income probability density function shows the probability of Calvert Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Calvert Long Term price to stay between $ 14.97  and its current price of $15.5 at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.68 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Calvert Long has a beta of 0.0267 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Calvert Long average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Calvert Long Term Income will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Calvert Long Term Income has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Calvert Long Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Calvert Long

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Calvert Long Term. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.8715.1817.05
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.9115.2215.53
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Calvert Long. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Calvert Long's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Calvert Long's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Calvert Long Term.

Calvert Long Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Calvert Long is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Calvert Long's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Calvert Long Term Income, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Calvert Long within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.03
σ
Overall volatility
0.16
Ir
Information ratio -0.27

Calvert Long Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Calvert Long for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Calvert Long Term can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Calvert Long Term generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Latest headline from news.google.com: Should You Add These 3 Top-Performing Mutual Funds to Your Portfolio - MSN
The fund generated three year return of -2.0%
Calvert Long Term holds about 97.23% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities

Calvert Long Technical Analysis

Calvert Long's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Calvert Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Calvert Long Term Income. In general, you should focus on analyzing Calvert Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Calvert Long Predictive Forecast Models

Calvert Long's time-series forecasting models is one of many Calvert Long's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Calvert Long's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Calvert Long Term

Checking the ongoing alerts about Calvert Long for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Calvert Long Term help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Calvert Long Term generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Latest headline from news.google.com: Should You Add These 3 Top-Performing Mutual Funds to Your Portfolio - MSN
The fund generated three year return of -2.0%
Calvert Long Term holds about 97.23% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities

Other Information on Investing in Calvert Mutual Fund

Calvert Long financial ratios help investors to determine whether Calvert Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Calvert with respect to the benefits of owning Calvert Long security.
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