CAP LEASE (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 2.85
| CLA Stock | 0.48 0.02 4.00% |
CAP |
CAP LEASE Target Price Odds to finish over 2.85
The tendency of CAP Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 2.85 or more in 90 days |
| 0.48 | 90 days | 2.85 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CAP LEASE to move over 2.85 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This CAP LEASE AVIATION probability density function shows the probability of CAP Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of CAP LEASE AVIATION price to stay between its current price of 0.48 and 2.85 at the end of the 90-day period is over 95.03 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon CAP LEASE AVIATION has a beta of -0.24 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding CAP LEASE are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, CAP LEASE AVIATION is likely to outperform the market. Additionally CAP LEASE AVIATION has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. CAP LEASE Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for CAP LEASE
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CAP LEASE AVIATION. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.CAP LEASE Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CAP LEASE is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CAP LEASE's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CAP LEASE AVIATION, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CAP LEASE within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.48 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.24 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.06 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.26 |
CAP LEASE Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of CAP LEASE for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for CAP LEASE AVIATION can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| CAP LEASE AVIATION generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| CAP LEASE AVIATION has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| The company reported the revenue of 647. Net Loss for the year was (5.73 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 25.86 K. | |
| CAP LEASE generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 13.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Phoenix Aviation Capital Acquires one Boeing 787-9 Aircraft on Lease with American Airlines - Yahoo Finance |
CAP LEASE Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of CAP Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential CAP LEASE's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CAP LEASE's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.2 B | |
| Shares Float | 1.8 B |
CAP LEASE Technical Analysis
CAP LEASE's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. CAP Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of CAP LEASE AVIATION. In general, you should focus on analyzing CAP Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
CAP LEASE Predictive Forecast Models
CAP LEASE's time-series forecasting models is one of many CAP LEASE's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary CAP LEASE's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about CAP LEASE AVIATION
Checking the ongoing alerts about CAP LEASE for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for CAP LEASE AVIATION help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| CAP LEASE AVIATION generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| CAP LEASE AVIATION has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| The company reported the revenue of 647. Net Loss for the year was (5.73 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 25.86 K. | |
| CAP LEASE generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 13.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Phoenix Aviation Capital Acquires one Boeing 787-9 Aircraft on Lease with American Airlines - Yahoo Finance |
Other Information on Investing in CAP Stock
CAP LEASE financial ratios help investors to determine whether CAP Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in CAP with respect to the benefits of owning CAP LEASE security.