City Office Reit Preferred Stock Probability of Future Preferred Stock Price Finishing Under 16.50

CIO-PA Preferred Stock  USD 19.98  0.25  1.24%   
City Office's future price is the expected price of City Office instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of City Office REIT performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out City Office Backtesting, City Office Valuation, City Office Correlation, City Office Hype Analysis, City Office Volatility, City Office History as well as City Office Performance.
For information on how to trade City Preferred Stock refer to our How to Trade City Preferred Stock guide.
  
Please specify City Office's target price for which you would like City Office odds to be computed.

City Office Target Price Odds to finish below 16.50

The tendency of City Preferred Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 16.50  or more in 90 days
 19.98 90 days 16.50 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of City Office to drop to $ 16.50  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This City Office REIT probability density function shows the probability of City Preferred Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of City Office REIT price to stay between $ 16.50  and its current price of $19.98 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 97.0 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon City Office has a beta of 0.18 suggesting as returns on the market go up, City Office average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding City Office REIT will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally City Office REIT has an alpha of 0.0623, implying that it can generate a 0.0623 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   City Office Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for City Office

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as City Office REIT. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
18.7819.9821.18
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
18.1619.3620.56
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
18.2119.4120.61
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
19.3119.8220.33
Details

City Office Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. City Office is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the City Office's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold City Office REIT, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of City Office within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.18
σ
Overall volatility
0.73
Ir
Information ratio -0.0094

City Office Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of City Office for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for City Office REIT can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
City Office REIT has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations

City Office Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of City Preferred Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential City Office's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. City Office's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding18.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments21.3 M

City Office Technical Analysis

City Office's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. City Preferred Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of City Office REIT. In general, you should focus on analyzing City Preferred Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

City Office Predictive Forecast Models

City Office's time-series forecasting models is one of many City Office's preferred stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary City Office's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the preferred stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about City Office REIT

Checking the ongoing alerts about City Office for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for City Office REIT help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
City Office REIT has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations

Other Information on Investing in City Preferred Stock

City Office financial ratios help investors to determine whether City Preferred Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in City with respect to the benefits of owning City Office security.