Chitose Internasional (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 216.78
| CINT Stock | IDR 182.00 4.00 2.15% |
Chitose |
Chitose Internasional Target Price Odds to finish over 216.78
The tendency of Chitose Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 216.78 or more in 90 days |
| 182.00 | 90 days | 216.78 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Chitose Internasional to move over 216.78 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Chitose Internasional Tbk probability density function shows the probability of Chitose Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Chitose Internasional Tbk price to stay between its current price of 182.00 and 216.78 at the end of the 90-day period is about 59.3 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Chitose Internasional has a beta of 0.1 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Chitose Internasional average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Chitose Internasional Tbk will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Chitose Internasional Tbk has an alpha of 0.0297, implying that it can generate a 0.0297 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Chitose Internasional Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Chitose Internasional
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Chitose Internasional Tbk. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Chitose Internasional Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Chitose Internasional is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Chitose Internasional's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Chitose Internasional Tbk, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Chitose Internasional within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.10 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 11.45 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0 |
Chitose Internasional Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Chitose Internasional for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Chitose Internasional Tbk can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Chitose Internasional had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 287.15 B. Net Loss for the year was (98.86 B) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (8.48 B). | |
| About 78.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Chitose Internasional Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Chitose Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Chitose Internasional's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Chitose Internasional's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1000 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 33.8 B |
Chitose Internasional Technical Analysis
Chitose Internasional's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Chitose Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Chitose Internasional Tbk. In general, you should focus on analyzing Chitose Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Chitose Internasional Predictive Forecast Models
Chitose Internasional's time-series forecasting models is one of many Chitose Internasional's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Chitose Internasional's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Chitose Internasional Tbk
Checking the ongoing alerts about Chitose Internasional for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Chitose Internasional Tbk help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Chitose Internasional had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 287.15 B. Net Loss for the year was (98.86 B) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (8.48 B). | |
| About 78.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Chitose Stock
Chitose Internasional financial ratios help investors to determine whether Chitose Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Chitose with respect to the benefits of owning Chitose Internasional security.