Calian Technologies Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 49.39
| CGY Stock | CAD 50.49 1.99 4.10% |
Calian |
Calian Technologies Target Price Odds to finish over 49.39
The tendency of Calian Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above C$ 49.39 in 90 days |
| 50.49 | 90 days | 49.39 | about 21.47 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Calian Technologies to stay above C$ 49.39 in 90 days from now is about 21.47 (This Calian Technologies probability density function shows the probability of Calian Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Calian Technologies price to stay between C$ 49.39 and its current price of C$50.49 at the end of the 90-day period is about 12.24 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Calian Technologies has a beta of 0.18 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Calian Technologies average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Calian Technologies will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Calian Technologies has an alpha of 0.1698, implying that it can generate a 0.17 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Calian Technologies Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Calian Technologies
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Calian Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Calian Technologies Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Calian Technologies is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Calian Technologies' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Calian Technologies, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Calian Technologies within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.17 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.18 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.05 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.05 |
Calian Technologies Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Calian Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Calian Technologies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Calian Technologies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 11.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 33.7 M |
Calian Technologies Technical Analysis
Calian Technologies' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Calian Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Calian Technologies. In general, you should focus on analyzing Calian Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Calian Technologies Predictive Forecast Models
Calian Technologies' time-series forecasting models is one of many Calian Technologies' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Calian Technologies' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Calian Technologies in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Calian Technologies' short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Calian Technologies options trading.
Other Information on Investing in Calian Stock
Calian Technologies financial ratios help investors to determine whether Calian Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Calian with respect to the benefits of owning Calian Technologies security.