Century Paper (Pakistan) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 29.64

CEPB Stock   29.64  0.15  0.51%   
Century Paper's future price is the expected price of Century Paper instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Century Paper Board performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Century Paper Backtesting, Century Paper Valuation, Century Paper Correlation, Century Paper Hype Analysis, Century Paper Volatility, Century Paper History as well as Century Paper Performance.
  
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Century Paper Target Price Odds to finish over 29.64

The tendency of Century Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 29.64 90 days 29.64 
about 56.84
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Century Paper to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 56.84 (This Century Paper Board probability density function shows the probability of Century Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Century Paper has a beta of 0.16 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Century Paper average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Century Paper Board will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Century Paper Board has an alpha of 0.2218, implying that it can generate a 0.22 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Century Paper Price Density   
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.1515.1218.0621.024.1527.0929.6432.3435.2838.4341.58TargetCentury Paper Mean 0.020.040.060.080.100.120.14
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Century Paper

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Century Paper Board. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
26.5129.6432.77
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
20.8824.0132.60
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
27.9231.0534.18
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
28.3331.7435.16
Details

Century Paper Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Century Paper is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Century Paper's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Century Paper Board, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Century Paper within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.22
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.16
σ
Overall volatility
2.96
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

Century Paper Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Century Paper for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Century Paper Board can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Century Paper Board had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Century Paper generates negative cash flow from operations

Century Paper Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Century Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Century Paper's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Century Paper's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding223.2 M
Dividends Paid264.5 M
Short Long Term Debt7.9 B

Century Paper Technical Analysis

Century Paper's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Century Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Century Paper Board. In general, you should focus on analyzing Century Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Century Paper Predictive Forecast Models

Century Paper's time-series forecasting models is one of many Century Paper's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Century Paper's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Century Paper Board

Checking the ongoing alerts about Century Paper for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Century Paper Board help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Century Paper Board had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Century Paper generates negative cash flow from operations

Other Information on Investing in Century Stock

Century Paper financial ratios help investors to determine whether Century Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Century with respect to the benefits of owning Century Paper security.