Preferred Commerce Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 0.11
| CELV Stock | USD 3.48 0.67 23.84% |
Preferred |
Preferred Commerce Target Price Odds to finish below 0.11
The tendency of Preferred Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 0.11 or more in 90 days |
| 3.48 | 90 days | 0.11 | about 21.8 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Preferred Commerce to drop to $ 0.11 or more in 90 days from now is about 21.8 (This Preferred Commerce probability density function shows the probability of Preferred Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Preferred Commerce price to stay between $ 0.11 and its current price of $3.48 at the end of the 90-day period is about 76.39 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the pink sheet has the beta coefficient of 1.18 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Preferred Commerce will likely underperform. In addition to that Preferred Commerce has an alpha of 6.4839, implying that it can generate a 6.48 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Preferred Commerce Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Preferred Commerce
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Preferred Commerce. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Preferred Commerce Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Preferred Commerce is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Preferred Commerce's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Preferred Commerce, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Preferred Commerce within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 6.48 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.18 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.17 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.38 |
Preferred Commerce Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Preferred Commerce for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Preferred Commerce can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Preferred Commerce is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Preferred Commerce appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Preferred is showing solid risk-adjusted performance over 90 days | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Snacking in a Winter Wonderland Kellanovas Holiday Specials |
Preferred Commerce Technical Analysis
Preferred Commerce's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Preferred Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Preferred Commerce. In general, you should focus on analyzing Preferred Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Preferred Commerce Predictive Forecast Models
Preferred Commerce's time-series forecasting models is one of many Preferred Commerce's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Preferred Commerce's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Preferred Commerce
Checking the ongoing alerts about Preferred Commerce for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Preferred Commerce help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Preferred Commerce is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Preferred Commerce appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Preferred is showing solid risk-adjusted performance over 90 days | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Snacking in a Winter Wonderland Kellanovas Holiday Specials |
Additional Tools for Preferred Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Preferred Commerce's price analysis, check to measure Preferred Commerce's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Preferred Commerce is operating at the current time. Most of Preferred Commerce's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Preferred Commerce's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Preferred Commerce's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Preferred Commerce to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.