Congressional Effect Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 11.59
| CEFIX Fund | USD 11.50 0.19 1.63% |
Congressional |
Congressional Effect Target Price Odds to finish below 11.59
The tendency of Congressional Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 11.59 after 90 days |
| 11.50 | 90 days | 11.59 | about 11.83 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Congressional Effect to stay under $ 11.59 after 90 days from now is about 11.83 (This Congressional Effect Fund probability density function shows the probability of Congressional Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Congressional Effect price to stay between its current price of $ 11.50 and $ 11.59 at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.39 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Congressional Effect has a beta of 0.23 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Congressional Effect average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Congressional Effect Fund will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Congressional Effect Fund has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Congressional Effect Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Congressional Effect
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Congressional Effect. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Congressional Effect Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Congressional Effect is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Congressional Effect's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Congressional Effect Fund, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Congressional Effect within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.08 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.23 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.18 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.16 |
Congressional Effect Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Congressional Effect for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Congressional Effect can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Congressional Effect generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund holds 95.47% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities |
Congressional Effect Technical Analysis
Congressional Effect's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Congressional Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Congressional Effect Fund. In general, you should focus on analyzing Congressional Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Congressional Effect Predictive Forecast Models
Congressional Effect's time-series forecasting models is one of many Congressional Effect's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Congressional Effect's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Congressional Effect
Checking the ongoing alerts about Congressional Effect for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Congressional Effect help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Congressional Effect generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund holds 95.47% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities |
Other Information on Investing in Congressional Mutual Fund
Congressional Effect financial ratios help investors to determine whether Congressional Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Congressional with respect to the benefits of owning Congressional Effect security.
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