Crawford Dividend Opportunity Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 48.76

CDOFX Fund  USD 49.69  0.14  0.28%   
Crawford Dividend's future price is the expected price of Crawford Dividend instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Crawford Dividend Opportunity performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Crawford Dividend Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Crawford Dividend Correlation, Crawford Dividend Hype Analysis, Crawford Dividend Volatility, Crawford Dividend History as well as Crawford Dividend Performance.
  
Please specify Crawford Dividend's target price for which you would like Crawford Dividend odds to be computed.

Crawford Dividend Target Price Odds to finish below 48.76

The tendency of Crawford Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 48.76  or more in 90 days
 49.69 90 days 48.76 
about 12.18
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Crawford Dividend to drop to $ 48.76  or more in 90 days from now is about 12.18 (This Crawford Dividend Opportunity probability density function shows the probability of Crawford Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Crawford Dividend price to stay between $ 48.76  and its current price of $49.69 at the end of the 90-day period is about 14.61 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the mutual fund has the beta coefficient of 1.38 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Crawford Dividend will likely underperform. Additionally Crawford Dividend Opportunity has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Crawford Dividend Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Crawford Dividend

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Crawford Dividend. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
48.4449.6950.94
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
48.7650.0151.26
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
47.1848.4249.67
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
48.9951.7154.43
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Crawford Dividend. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Crawford Dividend's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Crawford Dividend's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Crawford Dividend.

Crawford Dividend Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Crawford Dividend is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Crawford Dividend's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Crawford Dividend Opportunity, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Crawford Dividend within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.38
σ
Overall volatility
1.71
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

Crawford Dividend Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Crawford Dividend for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Crawford Dividend can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Crawford Dividend Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Crawford Mutual Fund often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Crawford Dividend's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Crawford Dividend's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

Crawford Dividend Technical Analysis

Crawford Dividend's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Crawford Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Crawford Dividend Opportunity. In general, you should focus on analyzing Crawford Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Crawford Dividend Predictive Forecast Models

Crawford Dividend's time-series forecasting models is one of many Crawford Dividend's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Crawford Dividend's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Crawford Dividend

Checking the ongoing alerts about Crawford Dividend for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Crawford Dividend help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Other Information on Investing in Crawford Mutual Fund

Crawford Dividend financial ratios help investors to determine whether Crawford Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Crawford with respect to the benefits of owning Crawford Dividend security.
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