Crafword Dividend Growth Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 15.05
| CDGCX Fund | USD 14.72 0.13 0.89% |
Crafword |
Crafword Dividend Target Price Odds to finish below 15.05
The tendency of Crafword Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 15.05 after 90 days |
| 14.72 | 90 days | 15.05 | about 42.1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Crafword Dividend to stay under $ 15.05 after 90 days from now is about 42.1 (This Crafword Dividend Growth probability density function shows the probability of Crafword Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Crafword Dividend Growth price to stay between its current price of $ 14.72 and $ 15.05 at the end of the 90-day period is about 41.28 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Crafword Dividend has a beta of 0.67 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Crafword Dividend average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Crafword Dividend Growth will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Crafword Dividend Growth has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Crafword Dividend Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Crafword Dividend
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Crafword Dividend Growth. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Crafword Dividend's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Crafword Dividend Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Crafword Dividend is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Crafword Dividend's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Crafword Dividend Growth, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Crafword Dividend within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.67 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.17 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1 |
Crafword Dividend Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Crafword Dividend for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Crafword Dividend Growth can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Crafword Dividend generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: House approves funding bill and sends to Senate hours before government shutdown deadline - The Associated Press | |
| The fund holds 98.92% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities |
Crafword Dividend Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Crafword Mutual Fund often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Crafword Dividend's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Crafword Dividend's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Crafword Dividend Technical Analysis
Crafword Dividend's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Crafword Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Crafword Dividend Growth. In general, you should focus on analyzing Crafword Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Crafword Dividend Predictive Forecast Models
Crafword Dividend's time-series forecasting models is one of many Crafword Dividend's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Crafword Dividend's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Crafword Dividend Growth
Checking the ongoing alerts about Crafword Dividend for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Crafword Dividend Growth help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Crafword Dividend generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: House approves funding bill and sends to Senate hours before government shutdown deadline - The Associated Press | |
| The fund holds 98.92% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities |
Other Information on Investing in Crafword Mutual Fund
Crafword Dividend financial ratios help investors to determine whether Crafword Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Crafword with respect to the benefits of owning Crafword Dividend security.
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