Cccb Bancorp Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 1.51
| CCYY Stock | USD 5.27 0.53 9.14% |
CCCB |
CCCB Bancorp Target Price Odds to finish below 1.51
The tendency of CCCB Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 1.51 or more in 90 days |
| 5.27 | 90 days | 1.51 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CCCB Bancorp to drop to $ 1.51 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This CCCB Bancorp probability density function shows the probability of CCCB Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of CCCB Bancorp price to stay between $ 1.51 and its current price of $5.27 at the end of the 90-day period is about 40.07 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days CCCB Bancorp has a beta of 0.15 suggesting as returns on the market go up, CCCB Bancorp average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding CCCB Bancorp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally CCCB Bancorp has an alpha of 0.1172, implying that it can generate a 0.12 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). CCCB Bancorp Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for CCCB Bancorp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CCCB Bancorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of CCCB Bancorp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
CCCB Bancorp Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CCCB Bancorp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CCCB Bancorp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CCCB Bancorp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CCCB Bancorp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.12 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.15 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.32 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.01 |
CCCB Bancorp Technical Analysis
CCCB Bancorp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. CCCB Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of CCCB Bancorp. In general, you should focus on analyzing CCCB Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
CCCB Bancorp Predictive Forecast Models
CCCB Bancorp's time-series forecasting models is one of many CCCB Bancorp's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary CCCB Bancorp's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards CCCB Bancorp in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, CCCB Bancorp's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from CCCB Bancorp options trading.
Additional Tools for CCCB Pink Sheet Analysis
When running CCCB Bancorp's price analysis, check to measure CCCB Bancorp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CCCB Bancorp is operating at the current time. Most of CCCB Bancorp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CCCB Bancorp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CCCB Bancorp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CCCB Bancorp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.