Coca Cola (Spain) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 72.74

CCEP Stock  EUR 75.80  1.80  2.43%   
Coca Cola's future price is the expected price of Coca Cola instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Coca Cola European Partners performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Coca Cola Backtesting, Coca Cola Valuation, Coca Cola Correlation, Coca Cola Hype Analysis, Coca Cola Volatility, Coca Cola History as well as Coca Cola Performance.
  
Please specify Coca Cola's target price for which you would like Coca Cola odds to be computed.

Coca Cola Target Price Odds to finish below 72.74

The tendency of Coca Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to € 72.74  or more in 90 days
 75.80 90 days 72.74 
about 75.95
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Coca Cola to drop to € 72.74  or more in 90 days from now is about 75.95 (This Coca Cola European Partners probability density function shows the probability of Coca Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Coca Cola European price to stay between € 72.74  and its current price of €75.8 at the end of the 90-day period is about 22.26 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Coca Cola has a beta of 0.0883 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Coca Cola average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Coca Cola European Partners will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Coca Cola European Partners has an alpha of 0.104, implying that it can generate a 0.1 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Coca Cola Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Coca Cola

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Coca Cola European. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
74.4675.8077.14
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
72.5573.8983.38
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
72.3273.6675.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
73.1374.4575.77
Details

Coca Cola Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Coca Cola is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Coca Cola's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Coca Cola European Partners, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Coca Cola within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.10
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.09
σ
Overall volatility
2.10
Ir
Information ratio -0.0003

Coca Cola Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Coca Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Coca Cola's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Coca Cola's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding456.2 M

Coca Cola Technical Analysis

Coca Cola's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Coca Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Coca Cola European Partners. In general, you should focus on analyzing Coca Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Coca Cola Predictive Forecast Models

Coca Cola's time-series forecasting models is one of many Coca Cola's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Coca Cola's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Coca Cola in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Coca Cola's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Coca Cola options trading.

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Coca Stock

When determining whether Coca Cola European is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Coca Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Coca Cola European Partners Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Coca Cola European Partners Stock:
Check out Coca Cola Backtesting, Coca Cola Valuation, Coca Cola Correlation, Coca Cola Hype Analysis, Coca Cola Volatility, Coca Cola History as well as Coca Cola Performance.
You can also try the Fundamental Analysis module to view fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Coca Cola's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Coca Cola is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Coca Cola's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.