Colony Bankcorp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 3.64
| CBAN Stock | USD 16.25 0.31 1.87% |
Colony |
Colony Bankcorp Target Price Odds to finish below 3.64
The tendency of Colony Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 3.64 or more in 90 days |
| 16.25 | 90 days | 3.64 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Colony Bankcorp to drop to $ 3.64 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Colony Bankcorp probability density function shows the probability of Colony Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Colony Bankcorp price to stay between $ 3.64 and its current price of $16.25 at the end of the 90-day period is about 48.49 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.95 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Colony Bankcorp will likely underperform. Additionally Colony Bankcorp has an alpha of 0.0907, implying that it can generate a 0.0907 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Colony Bankcorp Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Colony Bankcorp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Colony Bankcorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Colony Bankcorp Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Colony Bankcorp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Colony Bankcorp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Colony Bankcorp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Colony Bankcorp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.09 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.95 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.10 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.05 |
Colony Bankcorp Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Colony Bankcorp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Colony Bankcorp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 58.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 20th of November 2024 Colony Bankcorp paid $ 0.1125 per share dividend to its current shareholders |
Colony Bankcorp Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Colony Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Colony Bankcorp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Colony Bankcorp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 17.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 83.3 M |
Colony Bankcorp Technical Analysis
Colony Bankcorp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Colony Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Colony Bankcorp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Colony Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Colony Bankcorp Predictive Forecast Models
Colony Bankcorp's time-series forecasting models is one of many Colony Bankcorp's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Colony Bankcorp's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Colony Bankcorp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Colony Bankcorp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Colony Bankcorp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 58.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 20th of November 2024 Colony Bankcorp paid $ 0.1125 per share dividend to its current shareholders |
Check out Colony Bankcorp Backtesting, Colony Bankcorp Valuation, Colony Bankcorp Correlation, Colony Bankcorp Hype Analysis, Colony Bankcorp Volatility, Colony Bankcorp History as well as Colony Bankcorp Performance. To learn how to invest in Colony Stock, please use our How to Invest in Colony Bankcorp guide.You can also try the Pair Correlation module to compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments.
Is Banking space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Colony Bankcorp. If investors know Colony will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Colony Bankcorp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Colony Bankcorp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Colony that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Colony Bankcorp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Colony Bankcorp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Colony Bankcorp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Colony Bankcorp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Colony Bankcorp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Colony Bankcorp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Colony Bankcorp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.