Cass Information Systems Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 39.3
| CASS Stock | USD 45.17 0.30 0.67% |
Closest to current price Cass long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Cass |
Cass Information Target Price Odds to finish below 39.3
The tendency of Cass Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 39.30 or more in 90 days |
| 45.17 | 90 days | 39.30 | under 4 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Cass Information to drop to $ 39.30 or more in 90 days from now is under 4 (This Cass Information Systems probability density function shows the probability of Cass Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Cass Information Systems price to stay between $ 39.30 and its current price of $45.17 at the end of the 90-day period is about 91.26 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.49 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Cass Information will likely underperform. Additionally Cass Information Systems has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Cass Information Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Cass Information
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cass Information Systems. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Cass Information's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Cass Information Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Cass Information is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Cass Information's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Cass Information Systems, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Cass Information within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.09 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.49 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.71 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
Cass Information Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Cass Information for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Cass Information Systems can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Cass Information Systems currently holds 8.48 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.05, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Cass Information Systems has a current ratio of 0.93, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Cass Information's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| About 67.0% of Cass Information shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by Martin Resch of 1000 shares of Cass Information at 36.5 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Cass Information Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Cass Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Cass Information's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cass Information's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 13.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 372.5 M |
Cass Information Technical Analysis
Cass Information's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Cass Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Cass Information Systems. In general, you should focus on analyzing Cass Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Cass Information Predictive Forecast Models
Cass Information's time-series forecasting models is one of many Cass Information's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Cass Information's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Cass Information Systems
Checking the ongoing alerts about Cass Information for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Cass Information Systems help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Cass Information Systems currently holds 8.48 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.05, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Cass Information Systems has a current ratio of 0.93, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Cass Information's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| About 67.0% of Cass Information shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by Martin Resch of 1000 shares of Cass Information at 36.5 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Additional Tools for Cass Stock Analysis
When running Cass Information's price analysis, check to measure Cass Information's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cass Information is operating at the current time. Most of Cass Information's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cass Information's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cass Information's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cass Information to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.