Citizens Financial (Brazil) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 269.71
| C1FG34 Stock | BRL 269.71 1.91 0.70% |
Citizens |
Citizens Financial Target Price Odds to finish over 269.71
The tendency of Citizens Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 269.71 | 90 days | 269.71 | about 28.29 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Citizens Financial to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 28.29 (This Citizens Financial Group, probability density function shows the probability of Citizens Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Citizens Financial Group, has a beta of -0.3 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Citizens Financial are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Citizens Financial Group, is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Citizens Financial Group, has an alpha of 0.3427, implying that it can generate a 0.34 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Citizens Financial Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Citizens Financial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Citizens Financial Group,. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Citizens Financial Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Citizens Financial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Citizens Financial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Citizens Financial Group,, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Citizens Financial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.34 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.3 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 22.78 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.14 |
Citizens Financial Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Citizens Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Citizens Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Citizens Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 1.56 | |
| Float Shares | 423.74M | |
| Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day | 11 | |
| Average Daily Volume In Three Month | 92 | |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.70% |
Citizens Financial Technical Analysis
Citizens Financial's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Citizens Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Citizens Financial Group,. In general, you should focus on analyzing Citizens Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Citizens Financial Predictive Forecast Models
Citizens Financial's time-series forecasting models is one of many Citizens Financial's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Citizens Financial's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Citizens Financial in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Citizens Financial's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Citizens Financial options trading.
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Citizens Stock
When determining whether Citizens Financial Group, is a strong investment it is important to analyze Citizens Financial's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Citizens Financial's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Citizens Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out Citizens Financial Backtesting, Citizens Financial Valuation, Citizens Financial Correlation, Citizens Financial Hype Analysis, Citizens Financial Volatility, Citizens Financial History as well as Citizens Financial Performance. You can also try the USA ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) in USA.