BYD Company (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 62.00

BY6A Stock  EUR 62.00  1.00  1.59%   
BYD Company's future price is the expected price of BYD Company instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of BYD Company Limited performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out BYD Company Backtesting, BYD Company Valuation, BYD Company Correlation, BYD Company Hype Analysis, BYD Company Volatility, BYD Company History as well as BYD Company Performance.
  
Please specify BYD Company's target price for which you would like BYD Company odds to be computed.

BYD Company Target Price Odds to finish over 62.00

The tendency of BYD Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 62.00 90 days 62.00 
about 53.51
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of BYD Company to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 53.51 (This BYD Company Limited probability density function shows the probability of BYD Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon BYD Company Limited has a beta of -0.18 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding BYD Company are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, BYD Company Limited is likely to outperform the market. Additionally BYD Company Limited has an alpha of 0.293, implying that it can generate a 0.29 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   BYD Company Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for BYD Company

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BYD Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
59.1162.0064.89
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
50.2453.1368.20
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as BYD Company. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against BYD Company's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, BYD Company's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in BYD Limited.

BYD Company Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. BYD Company is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the BYD Company's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold BYD Company Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of BYD Company within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.29
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.18
σ
Overall volatility
6.35
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

BYD Company Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of BYD Company for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for BYD Limited can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
BYD Limited has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations

BYD Company Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of BYD Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential BYD Company's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. BYD Company's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding2.9 B

BYD Company Technical Analysis

BYD Company's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. BYD Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of BYD Company Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing BYD Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

BYD Company Predictive Forecast Models

BYD Company's time-series forecasting models is one of many BYD Company's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary BYD Company's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about BYD Limited

Checking the ongoing alerts about BYD Company for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for BYD Limited help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
BYD Limited has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations

Other Information on Investing in BYD Stock

BYD Company financial ratios help investors to determine whether BYD Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in BYD with respect to the benefits of owning BYD Company security.