Babcock Wilcox Enterprises Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2.06
| BW Stock | USD 1.62 0.03 1.89% |
Babcock |
Babcock Wilcox Target Price Odds to finish below 2.06
The tendency of Babcock Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 2.06 after 90 days |
| 1.62 | 90 days | 2.06 | about 44.21 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Babcock Wilcox to stay under $ 2.06 after 90 days from now is about 44.21 (This Babcock Wilcox Enterprises probability density function shows the probability of Babcock Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Babcock Wilcox Enter price to stay between its current price of $ 1.62 and $ 2.06 at the end of the 90-day period is about 36.24 .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.89 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Babcock Wilcox will likely underperform. Additionally Babcock Wilcox Enterprises has an alpha of 0.2436, implying that it can generate a 0.24 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Babcock Wilcox Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Babcock Wilcox
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Babcock Wilcox Enter. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Babcock Wilcox's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Babcock Wilcox Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Babcock Wilcox is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Babcock Wilcox's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Babcock Wilcox Enterprises, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Babcock Wilcox within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.24 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.89 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.35 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.04 |
Babcock Wilcox Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Babcock Wilcox for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Babcock Wilcox Enter can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Babcock Wilcox Enter generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Babcock Wilcox Enter has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Babcock Wilcox Enter may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Babcock Wilcox Enter has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company generated the yearly revenue of 999.35 M. Annual Net Loss to common stockholders was (78.87 M) with gross profit of 185.62 M. | |
| Babcock Wilcox Enterprises reports about 76.7 M in cash with (42.27 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.81. | |
| Babcock Wilcox Enter has a very weak financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 73.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Further weakness as Babcock Wilcox Enterprises drops 15 percent this week, taking three-year losses to 82 |
Babcock Wilcox Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Babcock Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Babcock Wilcox's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Babcock Wilcox's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 89 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 71 M |
Babcock Wilcox Technical Analysis
Babcock Wilcox's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Babcock Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Babcock Wilcox Enterprises. In general, you should focus on analyzing Babcock Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Babcock Wilcox Predictive Forecast Models
Babcock Wilcox's time-series forecasting models is one of many Babcock Wilcox's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Babcock Wilcox's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Babcock Wilcox Enter
Checking the ongoing alerts about Babcock Wilcox for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Babcock Wilcox Enter help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Babcock Wilcox Enter generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Babcock Wilcox Enter has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Babcock Wilcox Enter may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Babcock Wilcox Enter has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company generated the yearly revenue of 999.35 M. Annual Net Loss to common stockholders was (78.87 M) with gross profit of 185.62 M. | |
| Babcock Wilcox Enterprises reports about 76.7 M in cash with (42.27 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.81. | |
| Babcock Wilcox Enter has a very weak financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 73.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Further weakness as Babcock Wilcox Enterprises drops 15 percent this week, taking three-year losses to 82 |
Additional Tools for Babcock Stock Analysis
When running Babcock Wilcox's price analysis, check to measure Babcock Wilcox's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Babcock Wilcox is operating at the current time. Most of Babcock Wilcox's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Babcock Wilcox's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Babcock Wilcox's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Babcock Wilcox to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.