Brown Brown (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 97.76
| BTW Stock | 97.76 0.04 0.04% |
Brown |
Brown Brown Target Price Odds to finish over 97.76
The tendency of Brown Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 97.76 | 90 days | 97.76 | about 66.58 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Brown Brown to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 66.58 (This Brown Brown probability density function shows the probability of Brown Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Brown Brown has a beta of -0.48 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Brown Brown are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Brown Brown is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Brown Brown has an alpha of 0.0985, implying that it can generate a 0.0985 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Brown Brown Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Brown Brown
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Brown Brown. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Brown Brown Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Brown Brown is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Brown Brown's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Brown Brown, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Brown Brown within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.1 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.48 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.46 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.05 |
Brown Brown Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Brown Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Brown Brown's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Brown Brown's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 283.2 M | |
| Dividends Paid | -119.5 M | |
| Short Long Term Debt | 250.6 M |
Brown Brown Technical Analysis
Brown Brown's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Brown Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Brown Brown. In general, you should focus on analyzing Brown Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Brown Brown Predictive Forecast Models
Brown Brown's time-series forecasting models is one of many Brown Brown's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Brown Brown's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Brown Brown in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Brown Brown's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Brown Brown options trading.
Additional Tools for Brown Stock Analysis
When running Brown Brown's price analysis, check to measure Brown Brown's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Brown Brown is operating at the current time. Most of Brown Brown's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Brown Brown's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Brown Brown's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Brown Brown to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.