Bt Brands Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.52
| BTBD Stock | USD 1.60 0.03 1.84% |
BTBD |
Bt Brands Target Price Odds to finish below 1.52
The tendency of BTBD Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 1.52 or more in 90 days |
| 1.60 | 90 days | 1.52 | about 5.88 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bt Brands to drop to $ 1.52 or more in 90 days from now is about 5.88 (This Bt Brands probability density function shows the probability of BTBD Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Bt Brands price to stay between $ 1.52 and its current price of $1.6 at the end of the 90-day period is about 31.8 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Bt Brands has a beta of 0.95 suggesting Bt Brands market returns are highly-sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Bt Brands is expected to follow. Additionally Bt Brands has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Bt Brands Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Bt Brands
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bt Brands. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Bt Brands Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bt Brands is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bt Brands' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bt Brands, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bt Brands within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.95 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.06 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0053 |
Bt Brands Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bt Brands for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bt Brands can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Bt Brands may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Bt Brands had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Bt Brands has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 14.08 M. Net Loss for the year was (887.37 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.1 M. | |
| Bt Brands currently holds about 8.82 M in cash with (258.79 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.37. | |
| Bt Brands has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 54.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: BT Brands announces shareholder meeting outcomes |
Bt Brands Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of BTBD Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Bt Brands' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bt Brands' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 6.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 6.7 M |
Bt Brands Technical Analysis
Bt Brands' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. BTBD Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bt Brands. In general, you should focus on analyzing BTBD Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Bt Brands Predictive Forecast Models
Bt Brands' time-series forecasting models is one of many Bt Brands' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Bt Brands' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Bt Brands
Checking the ongoing alerts about Bt Brands for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Bt Brands help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Bt Brands may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Bt Brands had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Bt Brands has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 14.08 M. Net Loss for the year was (887.37 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.1 M. | |
| Bt Brands currently holds about 8.82 M in cash with (258.79 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.37. | |
| Bt Brands has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 54.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: BT Brands announces shareholder meeting outcomes |
Check out Bt Brands Backtesting, Bt Brands Valuation, Bt Brands Correlation, Bt Brands Hype Analysis, Bt Brands Volatility, Bt Brands History as well as Bt Brands Performance. For information on how to trade BTBD Stock refer to our How to Trade BTBD Stock guide.You can also try the Price Transformation module to use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets.
Is Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Bt Brands. If investors know BTBD will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Bt Brands listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.80) | Earnings Share (0.20) | Revenue Per Share 2.289 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.028 | Return On Assets (0.07) |
The market value of Bt Brands is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of BTBD that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Bt Brands' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Bt Brands' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Bt Brands' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Bt Brands' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Bt Brands' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Bt Brands is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Bt Brands' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.