Borusan Yatirim (Turkey) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 2113.0

BRYAT Stock  TRY 2,240  59.00  2.71%   
Borusan Yatirim's future price is the expected price of Borusan Yatirim instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Borusan Yatirim ve performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Borusan Yatirim Backtesting, Borusan Yatirim Valuation, Borusan Yatirim Correlation, Borusan Yatirim Hype Analysis, Borusan Yatirim Volatility, Borusan Yatirim History as well as Borusan Yatirim Performance.
  
Please specify Borusan Yatirim's target price for which you would like Borusan Yatirim odds to be computed.

Borusan Yatirim Target Price Odds to finish over 2113.0

The tendency of Borusan Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  2,113  in 90 days
 2,240 90 days 2,113 
about 21.49
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Borusan Yatirim to stay above  2,113  in 90 days from now is about 21.49 (This Borusan Yatirim ve probability density function shows the probability of Borusan Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Borusan Yatirim ve price to stay between  2,113  and its current price of 2240.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 16.73 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Borusan Yatirim has a beta of 0.53 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Borusan Yatirim average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Borusan Yatirim ve will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Borusan Yatirim ve has an alpha of 0.0848, implying that it can generate a 0.0848 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Borusan Yatirim Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Borusan Yatirim

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Borusan Yatirim ve. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Borusan Yatirim's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2,2382,2402,242
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2,1112,1132,464
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
2,0922,0942,097
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2,0682,1822,296
Details

Borusan Yatirim Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Borusan Yatirim is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Borusan Yatirim's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Borusan Yatirim ve, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Borusan Yatirim within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.08
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.53
σ
Overall volatility
144.47
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

Borusan Yatirim Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Borusan Yatirim for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Borusan Yatirim ve can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Borusan Yatirim ve has accumulated about 421.2 M in cash with (191.17 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 15.02.
Roughly 76.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Borusan Yatirim Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Borusan Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Borusan Yatirim's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Borusan Yatirim's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding27.5 M

Borusan Yatirim Technical Analysis

Borusan Yatirim's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Borusan Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Borusan Yatirim ve. In general, you should focus on analyzing Borusan Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Borusan Yatirim Predictive Forecast Models

Borusan Yatirim's time-series forecasting models is one of many Borusan Yatirim's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Borusan Yatirim's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Borusan Yatirim ve

Checking the ongoing alerts about Borusan Yatirim for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Borusan Yatirim ve help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Borusan Yatirim ve has accumulated about 421.2 M in cash with (191.17 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 15.02.
Roughly 76.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Borusan Stock

Borusan Yatirim financial ratios help investors to determine whether Borusan Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Borusan with respect to the benefits of owning Borusan Yatirim security.