Brill Shoe (Israel) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1460.0
| BRIL Stock | ILS 2,300 51.00 2.27% |
Brill |
Brill Shoe Target Price Odds to finish below 1460.0
The tendency of Brill Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to S 1,460 or more in 90 days |
| 2,300 | 90 days | 1,460 | about 17.74 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Brill Shoe to drop to S 1,460 or more in 90 days from now is about 17.74 (This Brill Shoe Industries probability density function shows the probability of Brill Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Brill Shoe Industries price to stay between S 1,460 and its current price of S2300.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 79.3 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Brill Shoe Industries has a beta of -0.41 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Brill Shoe are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Brill Shoe Industries is likely to outperform the market. Moreover Brill Shoe Industries has an alpha of 1.0369, implying that it can generate a 1.04 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Brill Shoe Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Brill Shoe
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Brill Shoe Industries. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Brill Shoe Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Brill Shoe is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Brill Shoe's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Brill Shoe Industries, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Brill Shoe within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 1.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.41 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 297.85 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.25 |
Brill Shoe Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Brill Shoe for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Brill Shoe Industries can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Brill Shoe appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Brill Shoe has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| About 74.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Brill Shoe Technical Analysis
Brill Shoe's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Brill Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Brill Shoe Industries. In general, you should focus on analyzing Brill Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Brill Shoe Predictive Forecast Models
Brill Shoe's time-series forecasting models is one of many Brill Shoe's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Brill Shoe's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Brill Shoe Industries
Checking the ongoing alerts about Brill Shoe for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Brill Shoe Industries help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Brill Shoe appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Brill Shoe has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| About 74.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Brill Stock
Brill Shoe financial ratios help investors to determine whether Brill Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Brill with respect to the benefits of owning Brill Shoe security.