Boxer Retail (South Africa) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 6467.00

BOX Stock   6,467  18.00  0.28%   
Boxer Retail's future price is the expected price of Boxer Retail instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Boxer Retail performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in inflation.
  
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Boxer Retail Target Price Odds to finish over 6467.00

The tendency of Boxer Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 6,467 90 days 6,467 
about 38.24
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Boxer Retail to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 38.24 (This Boxer Retail probability density function shows the probability of Boxer Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Boxer Retail has a beta of 0.17 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Boxer Retail average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Boxer Retail will be expected to be much smaller as well. Moreover Boxer Retail has an alpha of 1.4029, implying that it can generate a 1.4 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Boxer Retail Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Boxer Retail

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Boxer Retail. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Boxer Retail Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Boxer Retail is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Boxer Retail's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Boxer Retail, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Boxer Retail within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
1.40
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.17
σ
Overall volatility
410.94
Ir
Information ratio 0.26

Boxer Retail Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Boxer Retail for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Boxer Retail can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Boxer Retail appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues

Boxer Retail Technical Analysis

Boxer Retail's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Boxer Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Boxer Retail. In general, you should focus on analyzing Boxer Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Boxer Retail Predictive Forecast Models

Boxer Retail's time-series forecasting models is one of many Boxer Retail's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Boxer Retail's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Boxer Retail

Checking the ongoing alerts about Boxer Retail for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Boxer Retail help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Boxer Retail appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues