Bionomics Ltd ADR Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1.48
| BNOXDelisted Stock | USD 0.25 0.00 0.00% |
Bionomics |
Bionomics Target Price Odds to finish over 1.48
The tendency of Bionomics Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 1.48 or more in 90 days |
| 0.25 | 90 days | 1.48 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bionomics to move over $ 1.48 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Bionomics Ltd ADR probability density function shows the probability of Bionomics Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Bionomics ADR price to stay between its current price of $ 0.25 and $ 1.48 at the end of the 90-day period is about 73.77 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Bionomics has a beta of 0.99 suggesting Bionomics Ltd ADR market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Bionomics is expected to follow. Additionally Bionomics Ltd ADR has an alpha of 0.2479, implying that it can generate a 0.25 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Bionomics Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Bionomics
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bionomics ADR. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Bionomics Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bionomics is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bionomics' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bionomics Ltd ADR, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bionomics within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.25 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.99 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.11 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.01 |
Bionomics Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bionomics for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bionomics ADR can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Bionomics ADR is now traded under the symbol NEUP. Please update your portfolios or report it if you believe this is an error. Report It! | |
| Bionomics ADR is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Bionomics ADR has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Bionomics ADR appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Bionomics ADR has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 20 K. Net Loss for the year was (15.49 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (18.96 M). | |
| Bionomics Ltd ADR currently holds about 33.56 M in cash with (14.68 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 4.46, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 34.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Bionomics to Present at the 2024 American College of Neuropsychopharmacology Annual Meeting |
Bionomics Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Bionomics Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Bionomics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bionomics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 10 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 12.6 M |
Bionomics Technical Analysis
Bionomics' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bionomics Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bionomics Ltd ADR. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bionomics Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Bionomics Predictive Forecast Models
Bionomics' time-series forecasting models is one of many Bionomics' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Bionomics' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Bionomics ADR
Checking the ongoing alerts about Bionomics for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Bionomics ADR help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Bionomics ADR is now traded under the symbol NEUP. Please update your portfolios or report it if you believe this is an error. Report It! | |
| Bionomics ADR is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Bionomics ADR has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Bionomics ADR appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Bionomics ADR has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 20 K. Net Loss for the year was (15.49 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (18.96 M). | |
| Bionomics Ltd ADR currently holds about 33.56 M in cash with (14.68 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 4.46, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 34.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Bionomics to Present at the 2024 American College of Neuropsychopharmacology Annual Meeting |
Check out Bionomics Backtesting, Bionomics Valuation, Bionomics Correlation, Bionomics Hype Analysis, Bionomics Volatility, Bionomics History as well as Bionomics Performance. You can also try the Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.
Other Consideration for investing in Bionomics Stock
If you are still planning to invest in Bionomics ADR check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Bionomics' history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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