Vanguard Total World Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Under 68.36

BNDW Etf  USD 69.44  0.02  0.03%   
Vanguard Total's future price is the expected price of Vanguard Total instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Vanguard Total World performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Vanguard Total Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Vanguard Total Correlation, Vanguard Total Hype Analysis, Vanguard Total Volatility, Vanguard Total History as well as Vanguard Total Performance.
  
Please specify Vanguard Total's target price for which you would like Vanguard Total odds to be computed.

Vanguard Total Target Price Odds to finish below 68.36

The tendency of Vanguard Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 68.36  or more in 90 days
 69.44 90 days 68.36 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Vanguard Total to drop to $ 68.36  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Vanguard Total World probability density function shows the probability of Vanguard Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Vanguard Total World price to stay between $ 68.36  and its current price of $69.44 at the end of the 90-day period is about 43.36 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Vanguard Total has a beta of 0.0104 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Vanguard Total average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Vanguard Total World will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Vanguard Total World has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Vanguard Total Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Vanguard Total

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vanguard Total World. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Vanguard Total's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
69.1869.4269.66
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
68.5168.7576.36
Details

Vanguard Total Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Vanguard Total is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Vanguard Total's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Vanguard Total World, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Vanguard Total within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.01
σ
Overall volatility
0.49
Ir
Information ratio -0.47

Vanguard Total Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Vanguard Total for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Vanguard Total World can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Vanguard Total World generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Vanguard Total World Bond ETF Sees Unusually-High Trading Volume Should You Buy
The fund created three year return of -1.0%
Vanguard Total World holds about 48.45% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities

Vanguard Total Technical Analysis

Vanguard Total's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Vanguard Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Vanguard Total World. In general, you should focus on analyzing Vanguard Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Vanguard Total Predictive Forecast Models

Vanguard Total's time-series forecasting models is one of many Vanguard Total's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Vanguard Total's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Vanguard Total World

Checking the ongoing alerts about Vanguard Total for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Vanguard Total World help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Vanguard Total World generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Vanguard Total World Bond ETF Sees Unusually-High Trading Volume Should You Buy
The fund created three year return of -1.0%
Vanguard Total World holds about 48.45% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities
When determining whether Vanguard Total World is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Vanguard Etf is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Vanguard Total World Etf. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Vanguard Total World Etf:
The market value of Vanguard Total World is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Vanguard that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Vanguard Total's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Vanguard Total's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Vanguard Total's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Vanguard Total's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Vanguard Total's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Vanguard Total is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Vanguard Total's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.