Bm European Value Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 5.8

BMRPF Stock  USD 4.32  0.06  1.41%   
BM European's future price is the expected price of BM European instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of BM European Value performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out BM European Backtesting, BM European Valuation, BM European Correlation, BM European Hype Analysis, BM European Volatility, BM European History as well as BM European Performance.
  
Please specify BM European's target price for which you would like BM European odds to be computed.

BM European Target Price Odds to finish below 5.8

The tendency of BMRPF Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 5.80  after 90 days
 4.32 90 days 5.80 
about 89.95
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of BM European to stay under $ 5.80  after 90 days from now is about 89.95 (This BM European Value probability density function shows the probability of BMRPF Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of BM European Value price to stay between its current price of $ 4.32  and $ 5.80  at the end of the 90-day period is about 87.36 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon BM European Value has a beta of -0.38 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding BM European are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, BM European Value is likely to outperform the market. Additionally BM European Value has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   BM European Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for BM European

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BM European Value. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.004.05
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.004.05
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.204.268.31
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
4.064.695.31
Details

BM European Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. BM European is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the BM European's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold BM European Value, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of BM European within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.27
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.38
σ
Overall volatility
0.46
Ir
Information ratio -0.11

BM European Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of BM European for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for BM European Value can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
BM European Value generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
BM European Value has high historical volatility and very poor performance
About 61.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies

BM European Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of BMRPF Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential BM European's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. BM European's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares OutstandingB

BM European Technical Analysis

BM European's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. BMRPF Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of BM European Value. In general, you should focus on analyzing BMRPF Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

BM European Predictive Forecast Models

BM European's time-series forecasting models is one of many BM European's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary BM European's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about BM European Value

Checking the ongoing alerts about BM European for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for BM European Value help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
BM European Value generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
BM European Value has high historical volatility and very poor performance
About 61.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies

Other Information on Investing in BMRPF Pink Sheet

BM European financial ratios help investors to determine whether BMRPF Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in BMRPF with respect to the benefits of owning BM European security.