BMEB4F (Brazil) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 41.79
| BMEB4F Stock | BRL 37.99 0.69 1.85% |
BMEB4F |
BMEB4F Target Price Odds to finish over 41.79
The tendency of BMEB4F Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over R$ 41.79 or more in 90 days |
| 37.99 | 90 days | 41.79 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of BMEB4F to move over R$ 41.79 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This BMEB4F probability density function shows the probability of BMEB4F Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of BMEB4F price to stay between its current price of R$ 37.99 and R$ 41.79 at the end of the 90-day period is about 43.7 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon BMEB4F has a beta of 0.16 suggesting as returns on the market go up, BMEB4F average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding BMEB4F will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally BMEB4F has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. BMEB4F Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for BMEB4F
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BMEB4F. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.BMEB4F Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. BMEB4F is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the BMEB4F's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold BMEB4F, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of BMEB4F within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.16 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.16 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.82 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
BMEB4F Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of BMEB4F for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for BMEB4F can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| BMEB4F generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
BMEB4F Technical Analysis
BMEB4F's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. BMEB4F Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of BMEB4F. In general, you should focus on analyzing BMEB4F Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
BMEB4F Predictive Forecast Models
BMEB4F's time-series forecasting models is one of many BMEB4F's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary BMEB4F's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about BMEB4F
Checking the ongoing alerts about BMEB4F for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for BMEB4F help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| BMEB4F generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Other Information on Investing in BMEB4F Stock
BMEB4F financial ratios help investors to determine whether BMEB4F Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in BMEB4F with respect to the benefits of owning BMEB4F security.