Banco Macro Sa Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 95.85
| BMA Stock | USD 97.57 2.33 2.45% |
Banco |
Banco Macro Target Price Odds to finish below 95.85
The tendency of Banco Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 95.85 or more in 90 days |
| 97.57 | 90 days | 95.85 | about 97.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Banco Macro to drop to $ 95.85 or more in 90 days from now is about 97.0 (This Banco Macro SA probability density function shows the probability of Banco Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Banco Macro SA price to stay between $ 95.85 and its current price of $97.57 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.01 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.18 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Banco Macro will likely underperform. Additionally Banco Macro SA has an alpha of 0.4779, implying that it can generate a 0.48 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Banco Macro Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Banco Macro
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Banco Macro SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Banco Macro Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Banco Macro is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Banco Macro's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Banco Macro SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Banco Macro within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.48 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.18 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 9.13 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.13 |
Banco Macro Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Banco Macro for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Banco Macro SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Banco Macro SA appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Banco Macro SA has about 501.03 B in cash with (85.23 B) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Banco Macro SA has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Banco Santander SA Lowers Prime Rate to 7.50 |
Banco Macro Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Banco Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Banco Macro's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Banco Macro's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 63.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.7 B |
Banco Macro Technical Analysis
Banco Macro's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Banco Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Banco Macro SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Banco Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Banco Macro Predictive Forecast Models
Banco Macro's time-series forecasting models is one of many Banco Macro's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Banco Macro's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Banco Macro SA
Checking the ongoing alerts about Banco Macro for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Banco Macro SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Banco Macro SA appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Banco Macro SA has about 501.03 B in cash with (85.23 B) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Banco Macro SA has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Banco Santander SA Lowers Prime Rate to 7.50 |
Check out Banco Macro Backtesting, Banco Macro Valuation, Banco Macro Correlation, Banco Macro Hype Analysis, Banco Macro Volatility, Banco Macro History as well as Banco Macro Performance. You can also try the Sectors module to list of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities.
Is Diversified Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Banco Macro. If investors know Banco will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Banco Macro listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 6.273 | Earnings Share 7.22 | Revenue Per Share 54.3 K | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.53) | Return On Assets 0.0634 |
The market value of Banco Macro SA is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Banco that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Banco Macro's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Banco Macro's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Banco Macro's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Banco Macro's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Banco Macro's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Banco Macro is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Banco Macro's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.