Berlian Laju (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 32.81
| BLTA Stock | IDR 20.00 1.00 4.76% |
Berlian |
Berlian Laju Target Price Odds to finish over 32.81
The tendency of Berlian Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 32.81 or more in 90 days |
| 20.00 | 90 days | 32.81 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Berlian Laju to move over 32.81 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Berlian Laju Tanker probability density function shows the probability of Berlian Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Berlian Laju Tanker price to stay between its current price of 20.00 and 32.81 at the end of the 90-day period is about 92.59 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Berlian Laju Tanker has a beta of -0.13 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Berlian Laju are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Berlian Laju Tanker is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Berlian Laju Tanker has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Berlian Laju Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Berlian Laju
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Berlian Laju Tanker. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Berlian Laju Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Berlian Laju is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Berlian Laju's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Berlian Laju Tanker, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Berlian Laju within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.13 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.65 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.01 |
Berlian Laju Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Berlian Laju for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Berlian Laju Tanker can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Berlian Laju Tanker generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Berlian Laju Tanker has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| About 32.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Berlian Laju Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Berlian Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Berlian Laju's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Berlian Laju's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 25.9 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 4.1 M |
Berlian Laju Technical Analysis
Berlian Laju's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Berlian Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Berlian Laju Tanker. In general, you should focus on analyzing Berlian Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Berlian Laju Predictive Forecast Models
Berlian Laju's time-series forecasting models is one of many Berlian Laju's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Berlian Laju's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Berlian Laju Tanker
Checking the ongoing alerts about Berlian Laju for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Berlian Laju Tanker help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Berlian Laju Tanker generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Berlian Laju Tanker has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| About 32.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Berlian Stock
Berlian Laju financial ratios help investors to determine whether Berlian Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Berlian with respect to the benefits of owning Berlian Laju security.