Belimo Holding Ag Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Under 580.63
| BLHWF Stock | USD 678.72 0.67 0.1% |
BELIMO |
BELIMO Holding Target Price Odds to finish below 580.63
The tendency of BELIMO OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 580.63 or more in 90 days |
| 678.72 | 90 days | 580.63 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of BELIMO Holding to drop to $ 580.63 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This BELIMO Holding AG probability density function shows the probability of BELIMO OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of BELIMO Holding AG price to stay between $ 580.63 and its current price of $678.72 at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.58 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon BELIMO Holding has a beta of 0.045 suggesting as returns on the market go up, BELIMO Holding average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding BELIMO Holding AG will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally BELIMO Holding AG has an alpha of 0.0522, implying that it can generate a 0.0522 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). BELIMO Holding Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for BELIMO Holding
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BELIMO Holding AG. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of BELIMO Holding's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
BELIMO Holding Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. BELIMO Holding is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the BELIMO Holding's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold BELIMO Holding AG, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of BELIMO Holding within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.04 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 14.89 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
BELIMO Holding Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of BELIMO Holding for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for BELIMO Holding AG can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| BELIMO Holding AG generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 20.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
BELIMO Holding Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of BELIMO OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential BELIMO Holding's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. BELIMO Holding's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 12.3 M |
BELIMO Holding Technical Analysis
BELIMO Holding's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. BELIMO OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of BELIMO Holding AG. In general, you should focus on analyzing BELIMO OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
BELIMO Holding Predictive Forecast Models
BELIMO Holding's time-series forecasting models is one of many BELIMO Holding's otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary BELIMO Holding's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about BELIMO Holding AG
Checking the ongoing alerts about BELIMO Holding for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for BELIMO Holding AG help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| BELIMO Holding AG generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 20.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in BELIMO OTC Stock
BELIMO Holding financial ratios help investors to determine whether BELIMO OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in BELIMO with respect to the benefits of owning BELIMO Holding security.