BELIMO Holding OTC Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

BLHWF Stock  USD 678.72  0.67  0.1%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of BELIMO Holding AG on the next trading day is expected to be 678.72 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.77 and the sum of the absolute errors of 45.42. BELIMO OTC Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of BELIMO Holding's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A two period moving average forecast for BELIMO Holding is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

BELIMO Holding Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 31st of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of BELIMO Holding AG on the next trading day is expected to be 678.72 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.77, mean absolute percentage error of 18.58, and the sum of the absolute errors of 45.42.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict BELIMO OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that BELIMO Holding's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

BELIMO Holding OTC Stock Forecast Pattern

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BELIMO Holding Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting BELIMO Holding's OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. BELIMO Holding's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 678.20 and 679.24, respectively. We have considered BELIMO Holding's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
678.72
678.20
Downside
678.72
Expected Value
679.24
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of BELIMO Holding otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent BELIMO Holding otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.3571
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.7698
MADMean absolute deviation0.7698
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0011
SAESum of the absolute errors45.42
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of BELIMO Holding AG price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of BELIMO Holding. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for BELIMO Holding

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BELIMO Holding AG. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of BELIMO Holding's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
678.20678.72679.24
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
630.87631.39746.59
Details

Other Forecasting Options for BELIMO Holding

For every potential investor in BELIMO, whether a beginner or expert, BELIMO Holding's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. BELIMO OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in BELIMO. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying BELIMO Holding's price trends.

BELIMO Holding Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with BELIMO Holding otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of BELIMO Holding could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing BELIMO Holding by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

BELIMO Holding AG Technical and Predictive Analytics

The otc stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of BELIMO Holding's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of BELIMO Holding's current price.

BELIMO Holding Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how BELIMO Holding otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading BELIMO Holding shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying BELIMO Holding otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify BELIMO Holding AG entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

BELIMO Holding Risk Indicators

The analysis of BELIMO Holding's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in BELIMO Holding's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting belimo otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in BELIMO OTC Stock

BELIMO Holding financial ratios help investors to determine whether BELIMO OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in BELIMO with respect to the benefits of owning BELIMO Holding security.