Bluerock Homes Trust Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 7.31
| BHM Stock | USD 13.52 0.13 0.97% |
Bluerock |
Bluerock Homes Target Price Odds to finish below 7.31
The tendency of Bluerock Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 7.31 or more in 90 days |
| 13.52 | 90 days | 7.31 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bluerock Homes to drop to $ 7.31 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Bluerock Homes Trust probability density function shows the probability of Bluerock Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Bluerock Homes Trust price to stay between $ 7.31 and its current price of $13.52 at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.75 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Bluerock Homes Trust has a beta of -0.18 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Bluerock Homes are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Bluerock Homes Trust is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Bluerock Homes Trust has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Bluerock Homes Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Bluerock Homes
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bluerock Homes Trust. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Bluerock Homes Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bluerock Homes is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bluerock Homes' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bluerock Homes Trust, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bluerock Homes within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.11 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.18 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.75 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
Bluerock Homes Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bluerock Homes for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bluerock Homes Trust can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Bluerock Homes Trust generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 41.09 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (4.37 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 23.56 M. | |
| About 23.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 55881 shares by Michael DiFranco of Bluerock Homes subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Bluerock Homes Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Bluerock Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Bluerock Homes' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bluerock Homes' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 80.2 M |
Bluerock Homes Technical Analysis
Bluerock Homes' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bluerock Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bluerock Homes Trust. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bluerock Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Bluerock Homes Predictive Forecast Models
Bluerock Homes' time-series forecasting models is one of many Bluerock Homes' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Bluerock Homes' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Bluerock Homes Trust
Checking the ongoing alerts about Bluerock Homes for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Bluerock Homes Trust help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Bluerock Homes Trust generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 41.09 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (4.37 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 23.56 M. | |
| About 23.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 55881 shares by Michael DiFranco of Bluerock Homes subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Check out Bluerock Homes Backtesting, Bluerock Homes Valuation, Bluerock Homes Correlation, Bluerock Homes Hype Analysis, Bluerock Homes Volatility, Bluerock Homes History as well as Bluerock Homes Performance. You can also try the Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.
Is Real Estate Management & Development space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Bluerock Homes. If investors know Bluerock will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Bluerock Homes listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.98) | Revenue Per Share 14.528 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.168 | Return On Assets (0) | Return On Equity (0.04) |
The market value of Bluerock Homes Trust is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Bluerock that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Bluerock Homes' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Bluerock Homes' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Bluerock Homes' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Bluerock Homes' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Bluerock Homes' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Bluerock Homes is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Bluerock Homes' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.