Bell Financial (Australia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1.44
| BFG Stock | 1.33 0.01 0.75% |
Bell |
Bell Financial Target Price Odds to finish over 1.44
The tendency of Bell Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 1.44 or more in 90 days |
| 1.33 | 90 days | 1.44 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bell Financial to move over 1.44 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Bell Financial Group probability density function shows the probability of Bell Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Bell Financial Group price to stay between its current price of 1.33 and 1.44 at the end of the 90-day period is about 18.16 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Bell Financial Group has a beta of -0.12 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Bell Financial are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Bell Financial Group is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Bell Financial Group has an alpha of 0.0212, implying that it can generate a 0.0212 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Bell Financial Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Bell Financial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bell Financial Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Bell Financial Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bell Financial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bell Financial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bell Financial Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bell Financial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.12 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.03 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.002 |
Bell Financial Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bell Financial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bell Financial Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Bell Financial Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Bell Financial Group may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Bell Financial Group is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Bell Financial generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 62.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Bell Financial Group Issues New Performance Rights - TipRanks |
Bell Financial Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Bell Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Bell Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bell Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 318.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 136.3 M |
Bell Financial Technical Analysis
Bell Financial's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bell Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bell Financial Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bell Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Bell Financial Predictive Forecast Models
Bell Financial's time-series forecasting models is one of many Bell Financial's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Bell Financial's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Bell Financial Group
Checking the ongoing alerts about Bell Financial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Bell Financial Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Bell Financial Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Bell Financial Group may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Bell Financial Group is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Bell Financial generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 62.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Bell Financial Group Issues New Performance Rights - TipRanks |
Additional Tools for Bell Stock Analysis
When running Bell Financial's price analysis, check to measure Bell Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bell Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Bell Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bell Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bell Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bell Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.