Batulicin Nusantara (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 336.0
| BESS Stock | IDR 380.00 14.00 3.83% |
Batulicin |
Batulicin Nusantara Target Price Odds to finish below 336.0
The tendency of Batulicin Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 336.00 or more in 90 days |
| 380.00 | 90 days | 336.00 | about 89.45 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Batulicin Nusantara to drop to 336.00 or more in 90 days from now is about 89.45 (This Batulicin Nusantara Maritim probability density function shows the probability of Batulicin Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Batulicin Nusantara price to stay between 336.00 and its current price of 380.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 8.58 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Batulicin Nusantara has a beta of 0.24 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Batulicin Nusantara average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Batulicin Nusantara Maritim will be expected to be much smaller as well. Moreover Batulicin Nusantara Maritim has an alpha of 1.1621, implying that it can generate a 1.16 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Batulicin Nusantara Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Batulicin Nusantara
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Batulicin Nusantara. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Batulicin Nusantara Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Batulicin Nusantara is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Batulicin Nusantara's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Batulicin Nusantara Maritim, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Batulicin Nusantara within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 1.16 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.24 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 53.85 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.25 |
Batulicin Nusantara Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Batulicin Nusantara for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Batulicin Nusantara can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Batulicin Nusantara appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 79.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Batulicin Nusantara Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Batulicin Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Batulicin Nusantara's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Batulicin Nusantara's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3.4 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 40.8 B |
Batulicin Nusantara Technical Analysis
Batulicin Nusantara's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Batulicin Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Batulicin Nusantara Maritim. In general, you should focus on analyzing Batulicin Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Batulicin Nusantara Predictive Forecast Models
Batulicin Nusantara's time-series forecasting models is one of many Batulicin Nusantara's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Batulicin Nusantara's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Batulicin Nusantara
Checking the ongoing alerts about Batulicin Nusantara for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Batulicin Nusantara help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Batulicin Nusantara appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 79.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Batulicin Stock
Batulicin Nusantara financial ratios help investors to determine whether Batulicin Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Batulicin with respect to the benefits of owning Batulicin Nusantara security.