Brookfield Renewable Partners Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 22.64
| BEP Stock | USD 23.06 0.06 0.26% |
Brookfield |
Brookfield Renewable Target Price Odds to finish below 22.64
The tendency of Brookfield Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 22.64 or more in 90 days |
| 23.06 | 90 days | 22.64 | roughly 2.82 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Brookfield Renewable to drop to $ 22.64 or more in 90 days from now is roughly 2.82 (This Brookfield Renewable Partners probability density function shows the probability of Brookfield Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Brookfield Renewable price to stay between $ 22.64 and its current price of $23.06 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.13 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Brookfield Renewable has a beta of 0.6 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Brookfield Renewable average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Brookfield Renewable Partners will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Brookfield Renewable Partners has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Brookfield Renewable Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Brookfield Renewable
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Brookfield Renewable. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Brookfield Renewable's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Brookfield Renewable Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Brookfield Renewable is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Brookfield Renewable's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Brookfield Renewable Partners, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Brookfield Renewable within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.27 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.60 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.64 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.13 |
Brookfield Renewable Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Brookfield Renewable for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Brookfield Renewable can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Brookfield Renewable generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Brookfield Renewable Partners has 30.47 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.02, which is OK given its current industry classification. Brookfield Renewable has a current ratio of 0.72, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Brookfield to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| The entity reported the last year's revenue of 5.04 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (30 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 3.3 B. | |
| About 66.0% of Brookfield Renewable shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Brookfield Asset Management Announces New Meeting Date For Special Meeting on Proposed Arrangement |
Brookfield Renewable Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Brookfield Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Brookfield Renewable's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Brookfield Renewable's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 287.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.1 B |
Brookfield Renewable Technical Analysis
Brookfield Renewable's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Brookfield Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Brookfield Renewable Partners. In general, you should focus on analyzing Brookfield Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Brookfield Renewable Predictive Forecast Models
Brookfield Renewable's time-series forecasting models is one of many Brookfield Renewable's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Brookfield Renewable's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Brookfield Renewable
Checking the ongoing alerts about Brookfield Renewable for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Brookfield Renewable help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Brookfield Renewable generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Brookfield Renewable Partners has 30.47 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.02, which is OK given its current industry classification. Brookfield Renewable has a current ratio of 0.72, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Brookfield to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| The entity reported the last year's revenue of 5.04 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (30 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 3.3 B. | |
| About 66.0% of Brookfield Renewable shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Brookfield Asset Management Announces New Meeting Date For Special Meeting on Proposed Arrangement |
Additional Tools for Brookfield Stock Analysis
When running Brookfield Renewable's price analysis, check to measure Brookfield Renewable's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Brookfield Renewable is operating at the current time. Most of Brookfield Renewable's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Brookfield Renewable's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Brookfield Renewable's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Brookfield Renewable to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.