Marie Brizard (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2.61
| BED Stock | EUR 3.75 0.07 1.83% |
Marie |
Marie Brizard Target Price Odds to finish below 2.61
The tendency of Marie Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 2.61 or more in 90 days |
| 3.75 | 90 days | 2.61 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Marie Brizard to drop to € 2.61 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Marie Brizard Wine probability density function shows the probability of Marie Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Marie Brizard Wine price to stay between € 2.61 and its current price of €3.75 at the end of the 90-day period is about 21.71 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Marie Brizard Wine has a beta of -0.13 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Marie Brizard are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Marie Brizard Wine is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Marie Brizard Wine has an alpha of 0.1289, implying that it can generate a 0.13 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Marie Brizard Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Marie Brizard
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Marie Brizard Wine. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Marie Brizard Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Marie Brizard is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Marie Brizard's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Marie Brizard Wine, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Marie Brizard within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.13 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.13 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.09 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.07 |
Marie Brizard Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Marie Brizard for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Marie Brizard Wine can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Marie Brizard Wine generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Marie Brizard Wine has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Marie Brizard Wine has accumulated 1 K in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 87.8, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Marie Brizard Wine has a current ratio of 0.81, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Marie Brizard until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Marie Brizard's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Marie Brizard Wine sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Marie to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Marie Brizard's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Marie Brizard Wine has accumulated about 21.84 M in cash with (9.12 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.79. | |
| Roughly 74.0% of Marie Brizard shares are held by company insiders |
Marie Brizard Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Marie Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Marie Brizard's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Marie Brizard's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 111.8 M |
Marie Brizard Technical Analysis
Marie Brizard's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Marie Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Marie Brizard Wine. In general, you should focus on analyzing Marie Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Marie Brizard Predictive Forecast Models
Marie Brizard's time-series forecasting models is one of many Marie Brizard's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Marie Brizard's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Marie Brizard Wine
Checking the ongoing alerts about Marie Brizard for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Marie Brizard Wine help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Marie Brizard Wine generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Marie Brizard Wine has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Marie Brizard Wine has accumulated 1 K in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 87.8, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Marie Brizard Wine has a current ratio of 0.81, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Marie Brizard until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Marie Brizard's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Marie Brizard Wine sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Marie to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Marie Brizard's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Marie Brizard Wine has accumulated about 21.84 M in cash with (9.12 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.79. | |
| Roughly 74.0% of Marie Brizard shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Marie Stock
Marie Brizard financial ratios help investors to determine whether Marie Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Marie with respect to the benefits of owning Marie Brizard security.