Biocryst Pharmaceuticals Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 18.49

BCRX Stock  USD 7.78  0.21  2.77%   
BioCryst Pharmaceuticals' future price is the expected price of BioCryst Pharmaceuticals instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of BioCryst Pharmaceuticals performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out BioCryst Pharmaceuticals Backtesting, BioCryst Pharmaceuticals Valuation, BioCryst Pharmaceuticals Correlation, BioCryst Pharmaceuticals Hype Analysis, BioCryst Pharmaceuticals Volatility, BioCryst Pharmaceuticals History as well as BioCryst Pharmaceuticals Performance.
For more information on how to buy BioCryst Stock please use our How to Invest in BioCryst Pharmaceuticals guide.
  
Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is likely to rise to 0.47 in 2024, whereas Price To Sales Ratio is likely to drop 3.30 in 2024. Please specify BioCryst Pharmaceuticals' target price for which you would like BioCryst Pharmaceuticals odds to be computed.

BioCryst Pharmaceuticals Target Price Odds to finish over 18.49

The tendency of BioCryst Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 18.49  or more in 90 days
 7.78 90 days 18.49 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of BioCryst Pharmaceuticals to move over $ 18.49  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This BioCryst Pharmaceuticals probability density function shows the probability of BioCryst Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of BioCryst Pharmaceuticals price to stay between its current price of $ 7.78  and $ 18.49  at the end of the 90-day period is about 28.07 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.95 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, BioCryst Pharmaceuticals will likely underperform. Additionally BioCryst Pharmaceuticals has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   BioCryst Pharmaceuticals Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for BioCryst Pharmaceuticals

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BioCryst Pharmaceuticals. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4.497.7611.03
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.369.6312.90
Details
11 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
13.8315.2016.87
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.1-0.09-0.07
Details

BioCryst Pharmaceuticals Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. BioCryst Pharmaceuticals is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the BioCryst Pharmaceuticals' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold BioCryst Pharmaceuticals, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of BioCryst Pharmaceuticals within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.95
σ
Overall volatility
0.31
Ir
Information ratio -0.01

BioCryst Pharmaceuticals Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of BioCryst Pharmaceuticals for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for BioCryst Pharmaceuticals can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
BioCryst Pharmaceuticals had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
BioCryst Pharmaceuticals has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 331.41 M. Net Loss for the year was (226.54 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 10.94 M.
BioCryst Pharmaceuticals currently holds about 417.48 M in cash with (95.14 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.24.
BioCryst Pharmaceuticals has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 86.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from news.google.com: Acquisition by Jon Stonehouse of 10000 shares of BioCryst Pharmaceuticals subject to Rule 16b-3

BioCryst Pharmaceuticals Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of BioCryst Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential BioCryst Pharmaceuticals' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. BioCryst Pharmaceuticals' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding192.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments389 M

BioCryst Pharmaceuticals Technical Analysis

BioCryst Pharmaceuticals' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. BioCryst Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of BioCryst Pharmaceuticals. In general, you should focus on analyzing BioCryst Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

BioCryst Pharmaceuticals Predictive Forecast Models

BioCryst Pharmaceuticals' time-series forecasting models is one of many BioCryst Pharmaceuticals' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary BioCryst Pharmaceuticals' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about BioCryst Pharmaceuticals

Checking the ongoing alerts about BioCryst Pharmaceuticals for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for BioCryst Pharmaceuticals help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
BioCryst Pharmaceuticals had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
BioCryst Pharmaceuticals has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 331.41 M. Net Loss for the year was (226.54 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 10.94 M.
BioCryst Pharmaceuticals currently holds about 417.48 M in cash with (95.14 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.24.
BioCryst Pharmaceuticals has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 86.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from news.google.com: Acquisition by Jon Stonehouse of 10000 shares of BioCryst Pharmaceuticals subject to Rule 16b-3

Additional Tools for BioCryst Stock Analysis

When running BioCryst Pharmaceuticals' price analysis, check to measure BioCryst Pharmaceuticals' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy BioCryst Pharmaceuticals is operating at the current time. Most of BioCryst Pharmaceuticals' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of BioCryst Pharmaceuticals' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move BioCryst Pharmaceuticals' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of BioCryst Pharmaceuticals to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.