Boise Cascad Llc Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 115.50
| BCC Stock | USD 122.24 0.51 0.42% |
Boise |
Boise Cascad Target Price Odds to finish below 115.50
The tendency of Boise Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 115.50 or more in 90 days |
| 122.24 | 90 days | 115.50 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Boise Cascad to drop to $ 115.50 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Boise Cascad Llc probability density function shows the probability of Boise Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Boise Cascad Llc price to stay between $ 115.50 and its current price of $122.24 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.4 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Boise Cascad will likely underperform. Additionally Boise Cascad Llc has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Boise Cascad Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Boise Cascad
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Boise Cascad Llc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Boise Cascad's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Boise Cascad Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Boise Cascad is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Boise Cascad's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Boise Cascad Llc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Boise Cascad within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.27 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.40 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.43 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.12 |
Boise Cascad Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Boise Cascad for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Boise Cascad Llc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Boise Cascad Llc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Boise Cascad Llc has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 18th of December 2024 Boise Cascad paid $ 0.21 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Boise Cascade Shares Sold by Geode Capital Management LLC - MarketBeat |
Boise Cascad Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Boise Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Boise Cascad's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Boise Cascad's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 39.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 949.6 M |
Boise Cascad Technical Analysis
Boise Cascad's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Boise Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Boise Cascad Llc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Boise Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Boise Cascad Predictive Forecast Models
Boise Cascad's time-series forecasting models is one of many Boise Cascad's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Boise Cascad's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Boise Cascad Llc
Checking the ongoing alerts about Boise Cascad for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Boise Cascad Llc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Boise Cascad Llc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Boise Cascad Llc has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 18th of December 2024 Boise Cascad paid $ 0.21 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Boise Cascade Shares Sold by Geode Capital Management LLC - MarketBeat |
Check out Boise Cascad Backtesting, Boise Cascad Valuation, Boise Cascad Correlation, Boise Cascad Hype Analysis, Boise Cascad Volatility, Boise Cascad History as well as Boise Cascad Performance. You can also try the USA ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) in USA.
Is Paper & Forest Products space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Boise Cascad. If investors know Boise will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Boise Cascad listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.35) | Dividend Share 0.81 | Earnings Share 10.21 | Revenue Per Share 172.715 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.07) |
The market value of Boise Cascad Llc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Boise that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Boise Cascad's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Boise Cascad's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Boise Cascad's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Boise Cascad's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Boise Cascad's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Boise Cascad is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Boise Cascad's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.