Tritax Big (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 129.23
| BBOX Stock | 133.30 0.80 0.60% |
Tritax |
Tritax Big Target Price Odds to finish below 129.23
The tendency of Tritax Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 129.23 or more in 90 days |
| 133.30 | 90 days | 129.23 | nearly 4.17 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Tritax Big to drop to 129.23 or more in 90 days from now is nearly 4.17 (This Tritax Big Box probability density function shows the probability of Tritax Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Tritax Big Box price to stay between 129.23 and its current price of 133.3 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.32 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Tritax Big has a beta of 0.45 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Tritax Big average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Tritax Big Box will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Tritax Big Box has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Tritax Big Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Tritax Big
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tritax Big Box. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Tritax Big Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Tritax Big is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Tritax Big's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Tritax Big Box, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Tritax Big within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.35 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.45 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 9.74 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.32 |
Tritax Big Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Tritax Big for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Tritax Big Box can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Tritax Big Box generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Tritax Big Box is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Over 80.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 27th of November 2024 Tritax Big paid 0.0183 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: 2 cheap shares that are at 52-week lows - Motley Fool UK |
Tritax Big Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Tritax Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Tritax Big's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Tritax Big's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.9 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 36.4 M |
Tritax Big Technical Analysis
Tritax Big's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Tritax Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Tritax Big Box. In general, you should focus on analyzing Tritax Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Tritax Big Predictive Forecast Models
Tritax Big's time-series forecasting models is one of many Tritax Big's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Tritax Big's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Tritax Big Box
Checking the ongoing alerts about Tritax Big for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Tritax Big Box help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Tritax Big Box generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Tritax Big Box is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Over 80.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 27th of November 2024 Tritax Big paid 0.0183 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: 2 cheap shares that are at 52-week lows - Motley Fool UK |
Additional Tools for Tritax Stock Analysis
When running Tritax Big's price analysis, check to measure Tritax Big's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Tritax Big is operating at the current time. Most of Tritax Big's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Tritax Big's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Tritax Big's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Tritax Big to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.