Bbva Banco Frances Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 17.42
| BBAR Stock | USD 19.37 0.89 4.82% |
BBVA |
BBVA Banco Target Price Odds to finish below 17.42
The tendency of BBVA Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 17.42 or more in 90 days |
| 19.37 | 90 days | 17.42 | about 86.28 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of BBVA Banco to drop to $ 17.42 or more in 90 days from now is about 86.28 (This BBVA Banco Frances probability density function shows the probability of BBVA Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of BBVA Banco Frances price to stay between $ 17.42 and its current price of $19.37 at the end of the 90-day period is about 10.17 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.17 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, BBVA Banco will likely underperform. Additionally BBVA Banco Frances has an alpha of 0.7146, implying that it can generate a 0.71 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). BBVA Banco Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for BBVA Banco
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BBVA Banco Frances. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.BBVA Banco Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. BBVA Banco is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the BBVA Banco's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold BBVA Banco Frances, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of BBVA Banco within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.71 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.17 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.72 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.18 |
BBVA Banco Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of BBVA Banco for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for BBVA Banco Frances can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| BBVA Banco Frances appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| BBVA Banco Frances has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: All You Need to Know About Banco BBVA Rating Upgrade to Strong Buy |
BBVA Banco Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of BBVA Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential BBVA Banco's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. BBVA Banco's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 612.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2 T |
BBVA Banco Technical Analysis
BBVA Banco's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. BBVA Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of BBVA Banco Frances. In general, you should focus on analyzing BBVA Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
BBVA Banco Predictive Forecast Models
BBVA Banco's time-series forecasting models is one of many BBVA Banco's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary BBVA Banco's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about BBVA Banco Frances
Checking the ongoing alerts about BBVA Banco for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for BBVA Banco Frances help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| BBVA Banco Frances appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| BBVA Banco Frances has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: All You Need to Know About Banco BBVA Rating Upgrade to Strong Buy |
Additional Tools for BBVA Stock Analysis
When running BBVA Banco's price analysis, check to measure BBVA Banco's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy BBVA Banco is operating at the current time. Most of BBVA Banco's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of BBVA Banco's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move BBVA Banco's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of BBVA Banco to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.