Banco Del (Mexico) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 36.38
| BBAJIOO Stock | MXN 41.92 0.33 0.78% |
Banco |
Banco Del Target Price Odds to finish below 36.38
The tendency of Banco Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 36.38 or more in 90 days |
| 41.92 | 90 days | 36.38 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Banco Del to drop to 36.38 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Banco del Bajo probability density function shows the probability of Banco Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Banco del Bajo price to stay between 36.38 and its current price of 41.92 at the end of the 90-day period is about 13.13 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Banco del Bajo has a beta of -0.1 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Banco Del are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Banco del Bajo is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Banco del Bajo has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Banco Del Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Banco Del
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Banco del Bajo. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Banco Del Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Banco Del is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Banco Del's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Banco del Bajo, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Banco Del within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.14 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.1 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.75 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
Banco Del Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Banco Del for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Banco del Bajo can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Banco del Bajo generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Banco del Bajo has accumulated about 50.88 B in cash with (12.19 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 42.76, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 37.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Banco Del Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Banco Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Banco Del's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Banco Del's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.2 B | |
| Dividends Paid | 2.3 B |
Banco Del Technical Analysis
Banco Del's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Banco Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Banco del Bajo. In general, you should focus on analyzing Banco Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Banco Del Predictive Forecast Models
Banco Del's time-series forecasting models is one of many Banco Del's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Banco Del's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Banco del Bajo
Checking the ongoing alerts about Banco Del for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Banco del Bajo help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Banco del Bajo generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Banco del Bajo has accumulated about 50.88 B in cash with (12.19 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 42.76, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 37.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Banco Stock
Banco Del financial ratios help investors to determine whether Banco Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Banco with respect to the benefits of owning Banco Del security.