Bassac (France) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 43.18

BASS Stock  EUR 43.20  0.20  0.46%   
Bassac's future price is the expected price of Bassac instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Bassac performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Bassac Backtesting, Bassac Valuation, Bassac Correlation, Bassac Hype Analysis, Bassac Volatility, Bassac History as well as Bassac Performance.
  
Please specify Bassac's target price for which you would like Bassac odds to be computed.

Bassac Target Price Odds to finish below 43.18

The tendency of Bassac Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to € 43.18  or more in 90 days
 43.20 90 days 43.18 
about 19.07
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bassac to drop to € 43.18  or more in 90 days from now is about 19.07 (This Bassac probability density function shows the probability of Bassac Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Bassac price to stay between € 43.18  and its current price of €43.2 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Bassac has a beta of -0.0914 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Bassac are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Bassac is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Bassac has an alpha of 0.0299, implying that it can generate a 0.0299 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Bassac Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Bassac

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bassac. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
41.3043.2045.10
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
34.4536.3547.52
Details

Bassac Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bassac is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bassac's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bassac, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bassac within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.09
σ
Overall volatility
1.90
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Bassac Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bassac for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bassac can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 93.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Bassac Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Bassac Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Bassac's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bassac's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding16 M
Cash And Short Term Investments426.5 M

Bassac Technical Analysis

Bassac's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bassac Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bassac. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bassac Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Bassac Predictive Forecast Models

Bassac's time-series forecasting models is one of many Bassac's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Bassac's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Bassac

Checking the ongoing alerts about Bassac for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Bassac help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 93.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Bassac Stock

Bassac financial ratios help investors to determine whether Bassac Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Bassac with respect to the benefits of owning Bassac security.