Barbeque Nation (India) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 490.79
| BARBEQUE | 498.30 2.15 0.43% |
Barbeque |
Barbeque Nation Target Price Odds to finish below 490.79
The tendency of Barbeque Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 490.79 or more in 90 days |
| 498.30 | 90 days | 490.79 | about 8.34 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Barbeque Nation to drop to 490.79 or more in 90 days from now is about 8.34 (This Barbeque Nation Hospitality probability density function shows the probability of Barbeque Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Barbeque Nation Hosp price to stay between 490.79 and its current price of 498.3 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.04 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Barbeque Nation has a beta of 0.36 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Barbeque Nation average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Barbeque Nation Hospitality will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Barbeque Nation Hospitality has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Barbeque Nation Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Barbeque Nation
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Barbeque Nation Hosp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Barbeque Nation's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Barbeque Nation Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Barbeque Nation is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Barbeque Nation's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Barbeque Nation Hospitality, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Barbeque Nation within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.36 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.36 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 61.50 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.23 |
Barbeque Nation Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Barbeque Nation for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Barbeque Nation Hosp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Barbeque Nation Hosp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 12.55 B. Net Loss for the year was (134.09 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 5.38 B. | |
| About 47.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Barbeque Nation Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Barbeque Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Barbeque Nation's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Barbeque Nation's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 39 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 384.9 M |
Barbeque Nation Technical Analysis
Barbeque Nation's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Barbeque Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Barbeque Nation Hospitality. In general, you should focus on analyzing Barbeque Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Barbeque Nation Predictive Forecast Models
Barbeque Nation's time-series forecasting models is one of many Barbeque Nation's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Barbeque Nation's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Barbeque Nation Hosp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Barbeque Nation for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Barbeque Nation Hosp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Barbeque Nation Hosp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 12.55 B. Net Loss for the year was (134.09 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 5.38 B. | |
| About 47.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Additional Tools for Barbeque Stock Analysis
When running Barbeque Nation's price analysis, check to measure Barbeque Nation's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Barbeque Nation is operating at the current time. Most of Barbeque Nation's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Barbeque Nation's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Barbeque Nation's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Barbeque Nation to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.