BankInvest Hojrentelande (Denmark) Probability of Future Fund Price Finishing Under 52.54

BAIEMOBA  DKK 52.84  0.02  0.04%   
BankInvest Hojrentelande's future price is the expected price of BankInvest Hojrentelande instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of BankInvest Hojrentelande performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out BankInvest Hojrentelande Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, BankInvest Hojrentelande Correlation, BankInvest Hojrentelande Hype Analysis, BankInvest Hojrentelande Volatility, BankInvest Hojrentelande History as well as BankInvest Hojrentelande Performance.
  
Please specify BankInvest Hojrentelande's target price for which you would like BankInvest Hojrentelande odds to be computed.

BankInvest Hojrentelande Target Price Odds to finish below 52.54

The tendency of BankInvest Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to kr 52.54  or more in 90 days
 52.84 90 days 52.54 
about 6.54
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of BankInvest Hojrentelande to drop to kr 52.54  or more in 90 days from now is about 6.54 (This BankInvest Hojrentelande probability density function shows the probability of BankInvest Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of BankInvest Hojrentelande price to stay between kr 52.54  and its current price of kr52.84 at the end of the 90-day period is about 24.91 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon BankInvest Hojrentelande has a beta of -0.0335 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding BankInvest Hojrentelande are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, BankInvest Hojrentelande is likely to outperform the market. Additionally BankInvest Hojrentelande has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   BankInvest Hojrentelande Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for BankInvest Hojrentelande

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BankInvest Hojrentelande. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
52.5552.8453.13
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
52.5952.8853.17
Details

BankInvest Hojrentelande Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. BankInvest Hojrentelande is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the BankInvest Hojrentelande's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold BankInvest Hojrentelande, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of BankInvest Hojrentelande within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.03
σ
Overall volatility
0.30
Ir
Information ratio -0.15

BankInvest Hojrentelande Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of BankInvest Hojrentelande for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for BankInvest Hojrentelande can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
BankInvest Hojrentelande generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

BankInvest Hojrentelande Technical Analysis

BankInvest Hojrentelande's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. BankInvest Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of BankInvest Hojrentelande. In general, you should focus on analyzing BankInvest Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

BankInvest Hojrentelande Predictive Forecast Models

BankInvest Hojrentelande's time-series forecasting models is one of many BankInvest Hojrentelande's fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary BankInvest Hojrentelande's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about BankInvest Hojrentelande

Checking the ongoing alerts about BankInvest Hojrentelande for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for BankInvest Hojrentelande help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
BankInvest Hojrentelande generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in BankInvest Fund

BankInvest Hojrentelande financial ratios help investors to determine whether BankInvest Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in BankInvest with respect to the benefits of owning BankInvest Hojrentelande security.
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