Bankinvest Danske (Denmark) Probability of Future Fund Price Finishing Under 225.88

BAIDKAAKA  DKK 223.20  1.10  0.49%   
Bankinvest Danske's future price is the expected price of Bankinvest Danske instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Bankinvest Danske performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Bankinvest Danske Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Bankinvest Danske Correlation, Bankinvest Danske Hype Analysis, Bankinvest Danske Volatility, Bankinvest Danske History as well as Bankinvest Danske Performance.
  
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Bankinvest Danske Target Price Odds to finish below 225.88

The tendency of Bankinvest Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under kr 225.88  after 90 days
 223.20 90 days 225.88 
about 92.02
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bankinvest Danske to stay under kr 225.88  after 90 days from now is about 92.02 (This Bankinvest Danske probability density function shows the probability of Bankinvest Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Bankinvest Danske price to stay between its current price of kr 223.20  and kr 225.88  at the end of the 90-day period is about 17.33 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Bankinvest Danske has a beta of 0.33 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Bankinvest Danske average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Bankinvest Danske will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Bankinvest Danske has an alpha of 0.0061, implying that it can generate a 0.006091 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Bankinvest Danske Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Bankinvest Danske

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bankinvest Danske. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
222.29223.20224.11
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
222.00222.91223.82
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
223.71224.62225.52
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
214.68221.69228.71
Details

Bankinvest Danske Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bankinvest Danske is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bankinvest Danske's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bankinvest Danske, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bankinvest Danske within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.33
σ
Overall volatility
3.57
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

Bankinvest Danske Technical Analysis

Bankinvest Danske's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bankinvest Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bankinvest Danske. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bankinvest Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Bankinvest Danske Predictive Forecast Models

Bankinvest Danske's time-series forecasting models is one of many Bankinvest Danske's fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Bankinvest Danske's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Bankinvest Danske in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Bankinvest Danske's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Bankinvest Danske options trading.

Other Information on Investing in Bankinvest Fund

Bankinvest Danske financial ratios help investors to determine whether Bankinvest Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Bankinvest with respect to the benefits of owning Bankinvest Danske security.
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