WINDSTREAM HLDGS (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.0467
| B4O Stock | 0.07 0.02 42.80% |
WINDSTREAM |
WINDSTREAM HLDGS Target Price Odds to finish below 0.0467
The tendency of WINDSTREAM Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 0.05 or more in 90 days |
| 0.07 | 90 days | 0.05 | about 76.31 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of WINDSTREAM HLDGS to drop to 0.05 or more in 90 days from now is about 76.31 (This WINDSTREAM HLDGS probability density function shows the probability of WINDSTREAM Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of WINDSTREAM HLDGS price to stay between 0.05 and its current price of 0.0734 at the end of the 90-day period is about 19.14 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 36.72 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, WINDSTREAM HLDGS will likely underperform. In addition to that WINDSTREAM HLDGS has an alpha of 158.5238, implying that it can generate a 158.52 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). WINDSTREAM HLDGS Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for WINDSTREAM HLDGS
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as WINDSTREAM HLDGS. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.WINDSTREAM HLDGS Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. WINDSTREAM HLDGS is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the WINDSTREAM HLDGS's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold WINDSTREAM HLDGS, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of WINDSTREAM HLDGS within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 158.52 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 36.72 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.03 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.46 |
WINDSTREAM HLDGS Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of WINDSTREAM HLDGS for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for WINDSTREAM HLDGS can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| WINDSTREAM HLDGS is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| WINDSTREAM HLDGS has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| WINDSTREAM HLDGS appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| WINDSTREAM is showing solid risk-adjusted performance over 90 days |
WINDSTREAM HLDGS Technical Analysis
WINDSTREAM HLDGS's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. WINDSTREAM Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of WINDSTREAM HLDGS. In general, you should focus on analyzing WINDSTREAM Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
WINDSTREAM HLDGS Predictive Forecast Models
WINDSTREAM HLDGS's time-series forecasting models is one of many WINDSTREAM HLDGS's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary WINDSTREAM HLDGS's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about WINDSTREAM HLDGS
Checking the ongoing alerts about WINDSTREAM HLDGS for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for WINDSTREAM HLDGS help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| WINDSTREAM HLDGS is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| WINDSTREAM HLDGS has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| WINDSTREAM HLDGS appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| WINDSTREAM is showing solid risk-adjusted performance over 90 days |
Other Information on Investing in WINDSTREAM Stock
WINDSTREAM HLDGS financial ratios help investors to determine whether WINDSTREAM Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in WINDSTREAM with respect to the benefits of owning WINDSTREAM HLDGS security.