Antipa Minerals (Australia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.027

AZY Stock   0.03  0.01  19.35%   
Antipa Minerals' future price is the expected price of Antipa Minerals instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Antipa Minerals performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Antipa Minerals Backtesting, Antipa Minerals Valuation, Antipa Minerals Correlation, Antipa Minerals Hype Analysis, Antipa Minerals Volatility, Antipa Minerals History as well as Antipa Minerals Performance.
  
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Antipa Minerals Target Price Odds to finish over 0.027

The tendency of Antipa Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  0.03  or more in 90 days
 0.03 90 days 0.03 
about 34.57
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Antipa Minerals to move over  0.03  or more in 90 days from now is about 34.57 (This Antipa Minerals probability density function shows the probability of Antipa Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Antipa Minerals price to stay between its current price of  0.03  and  0.03  at the end of the 90-day period is about 20.69 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Antipa Minerals has a beta of -1.21. This suggests as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Antipa Minerals are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Antipa Minerals is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally Antipa Minerals has an alpha of 0.4539, implying that it can generate a 0.45 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Antipa Minerals Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Antipa Minerals

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Antipa Minerals. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.036.99
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.026.98
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.0001-0.0001-0.0001
Details

Antipa Minerals Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Antipa Minerals is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Antipa Minerals' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Antipa Minerals, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Antipa Minerals within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.45
β
Beta against Dow Jones-1.21
σ
Overall volatility
0
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

Antipa Minerals Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Antipa Minerals for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Antipa Minerals can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Antipa Minerals had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Antipa Minerals has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Antipa Minerals has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 216.17 K. Net Loss for the year was (2.44 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 224.76 K.
Antipa Minerals generates negative cash flow from operations
About 25.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Antipa Minerals raises A16 million to develop Minyari Dome Project in Paterson Province By Proactive Investors - Investing.com Australia

Antipa Minerals Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Antipa Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Antipa Minerals' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Antipa Minerals' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares OutstandingB
Cash And Short Term InvestmentsM

Antipa Minerals Technical Analysis

Antipa Minerals' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Antipa Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Antipa Minerals. In general, you should focus on analyzing Antipa Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Antipa Minerals Predictive Forecast Models

Antipa Minerals' time-series forecasting models is one of many Antipa Minerals' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Antipa Minerals' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Antipa Minerals

Checking the ongoing alerts about Antipa Minerals for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Antipa Minerals help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Antipa Minerals had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Antipa Minerals has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Antipa Minerals has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 216.17 K. Net Loss for the year was (2.44 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 224.76 K.
Antipa Minerals generates negative cash flow from operations
About 25.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Antipa Minerals raises A16 million to develop Minyari Dome Project in Paterson Province By Proactive Investors - Investing.com Australia

Additional Tools for Antipa Stock Analysis

When running Antipa Minerals' price analysis, check to measure Antipa Minerals' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Antipa Minerals is operating at the current time. Most of Antipa Minerals' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Antipa Minerals' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Antipa Minerals' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Antipa Minerals to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.