Axt Inc Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 17.95
| AXTI Stock | USD 2.13 0.04 1.84% |
AXT |
AXT Target Price Odds to finish over 17.95
The tendency of AXT Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 17.95 or more in 90 days |
| 2.13 | 90 days | 17.95 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of AXT to move over $ 17.95 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This AXT Inc probability density function shows the probability of AXT Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of AXT Inc price to stay between its current price of $ 2.13 and $ 17.95 at the end of the 90-day period is about 71.07 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days AXT has a beta of 0.58. This suggests as returns on the market go up, AXT average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding AXT Inc will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally AXT Inc has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. AXT Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for AXT
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AXT Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of AXT's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
AXT Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. AXT is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the AXT's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold AXT Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of AXT within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.14 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.58 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.27 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
AXT Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of AXT for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for AXT Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| AXT Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| AXT Inc has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 75.8 M. Net Loss for the year was (17.88 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 52.12 M. | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Short Interest in AXT, Inc. Increases By 5.6 |
AXT Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of AXT Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential AXT's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AXT's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 42.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 39.9 M |
AXT Technical Analysis
AXT's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. AXT Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of AXT Inc. In general, you should focus on analyzing AXT Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.