ASX (Germany) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 44.72

AUX1 Stock  EUR 39.00  0.20  0.52%   
ASX's future price is the expected price of ASX instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of ASX LTD UNSPONSADR performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out ASX Backtesting, ASX Valuation, ASX Correlation, ASX Hype Analysis, ASX Volatility, ASX History as well as ASX Performance.
  
Please specify ASX's target price for which you would like ASX odds to be computed.

ASX Target Price Odds to finish over 44.72

The tendency of ASX Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over € 44.72  or more in 90 days
 39.00 90 days 44.72 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ASX to move over € 44.72  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This ASX LTD UNSPONSADR probability density function shows the probability of ASX Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of ASX LTD UNSPONSADR price to stay between its current price of € 39.00  and € 44.72  at the end of the 90-day period is about 82.57 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon ASX LTD UNSPONSADR has a beta of -0.13. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding ASX are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, ASX LTD UNSPONSADR is likely to outperform the market. Additionally ASX LTD UNSPONSADR has an alpha of 0.0085, implying that it can generate a 0.008471 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   ASX Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for ASX

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ASX LTD UNSPONSADR. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
37.6939.0040.31
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
31.5232.8342.90
Details

ASX Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ASX is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ASX's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ASX LTD UNSPONSADR, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ASX within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.13
σ
Overall volatility
0.96
Ir
Information ratio -0.0094

ASX Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ASX for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ASX LTD UNSPONSADR can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ASX LTD UNSPONSADR generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

ASX Technical Analysis

ASX's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ASX Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ASX LTD UNSPONSADR. In general, you should focus on analyzing ASX Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

ASX Predictive Forecast Models

ASX's time-series forecasting models is one of many ASX's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary ASX's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about ASX LTD UNSPONSADR

Checking the ongoing alerts about ASX for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for ASX LTD UNSPONSADR help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ASX LTD UNSPONSADR generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in ASX Stock

ASX financial ratios help investors to determine whether ASX Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ASX with respect to the benefits of owning ASX security.